The closely bunched probabilities for FIFA World Cup Group D winner reflect a balanced field where recent form and squad depth create ongoing uncertainty. USA maintains a modest edge in trader consensus thanks to co-host status and attacking options, though March friendlies losses to Belgium and Portugal highlighted defensive vulnerabilities ahead of June warmups against Senegal and Germany. Türkiye counters with disciplined organization and strong recent international results, while Paraguay and Australia leverage proven tournament resilience and physical style to keep advancement paths wide open. These factors sustain tight implied probabilities as teams finalize preparations for the group stage opener on June 12.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtUSA 41%
Türkiye 36%
Paraguay 18%
Australia 9.4%
$49,957 KL.
$49,957 KL.
Jun 27, 2026
USA
41%
Türkiye
36%
Paraguay
18%
Australia
9%
USA 41%
Türkiye 36%
Paraguay 18%
Australia 9.4%
$49,957 KL.
$49,957 KL.
Jun 27, 2026
USA
$13,500 KL.
41%
Türkiye
$19,987 KL.
36%
Paraguay
$11,060 KL.
18%
Australia
$5,771 KL.
9%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely bunched probabilities for FIFA World Cup Group D winner reflect a balanced field where recent form and squad depth create ongoing uncertainty. USA maintains a modest edge in trader consensus thanks to co-host status and attacking options, though March friendlies losses to Belgium and Portugal highlighted defensive vulnerabilities ahead of June warmups against Senegal and Germany. Türkiye counters with disciplined organization and strong recent international results, while Paraguay and Australia leverage proven tournament resilience and physical style to keep advancement paths wide open. These factors sustain tight implied probabilities as teams finalize preparations for the group stage opener on June 12.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Khối lượng
$49,957Ngày kết thúc
Jun 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The closely bunched probabilities for FIFA World Cup Group D winner reflect a balanced field where recent form and squad depth create ongoing uncertainty. USA maintains a modest edge in trader consensus thanks to co-host status and attacking options, though March friendlies losses to Belgium and Portugal highlighted defensive vulnerabilities ahead of June warmups against Senegal and Germany. Türkiye counters with disciplined organization and strong recent international results, while Paraguay and Australia leverage proven tournament resilience and physical style to keep advancement paths wide open. These factors sustain tight implied probabilities as teams finalize preparations for the group stage opener on June 12.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$49,957Ngày kết thúc
Jun 27, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The closely bunched probabilities for FIFA World Cup Group D winner reflect a balanced field where recent form and squad depth create ongoing uncertainty. USA maintains a modest edge in trader consensus thanks to co-host status and attacking options, though March friendlies losses to Belgium and Portugal highlighted defensive vulnerabilities ahead of June warmups against Senegal and Germany. Türkiye counters with disciplined organization and strong recent international results, while Paraguay and Australia leverage proven tournament resilience and physical style to keep advancement paths wide open. These factors sustain tight implied probabilities as teams finalize preparations for the group stage opener on June 12.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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