With the running order for Eurovision 2026's First Semi-Final locked in since April 2—opening with Moldova's upbeat "Viva, Moldova!" by Satoshi and spotlighting contenders like Sweden's Felicia ("My System"), Croatia's Lelek ("Andromeda"), and Greece's Akylas ("Ferto")—trader sentiment hinges on song strength, diaspora televote potential, and jury appeal from the 15 competing nations, plus votes from Germany and Italy. Early betting markets and data models position Finland, Greece, Israel, and Sweden as frontrunners for the 10 qualification spots on May 12 in Vienna, buoyed by strong previews and historical Nordic/Balkan success. First rehearsals next week could spark momentum shifts via staging reveals, while televote-heavy entries like Moldova risk jury snubs amid close races for the final slots.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtEurovision 2026: Vòng bán kết đầu tiên
Eurovision 2026: Vòng bán kết đầu tiên
$477,251 KL.
May 12, 2026
Phần Lan
98%
Thụy Điển
98%
Hy Lạp
97%
Israel
92%
Moldova
88%
Serbia
81%
Croatia
76%
Litva
65%
Montenegro
57%
Ba Lan
46%
Bồ Đào Nha
40%
Estonia
37%
Georgia
36%
Bỉ
31%
San Marino
18%
$477,251 KL.
Phần Lan
$334,298 KL.
98%
Thụy Điển
$3,668 KL.
98%
Hy Lạp
$5,141 KL.
97%
Israel
$19,737 KL.
92%
Moldova
$18,998 KL.
88%
Serbia
$6,339 KL.
81%
Croatia
$8,084 KL.
76%
Litva
$3,360 KL.
65%
Montenegro
$6,205 KL.
57%
Ba Lan
$8,959 KL.
46%
Bồ Đào Nha
$34,951 KL.
40%
Estonia
$6,915 KL.
37%
Georgia
$2,233 KL.
36%
Bỉ
$10,143 KL.
31%
San Marino
$8,218 KL.
18%
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With the running order for Eurovision 2026's First Semi-Final locked in since April 2—opening with Moldova's upbeat "Viva, Moldova!" by Satoshi and spotlighting contenders like Sweden's Felicia ("My System"), Croatia's Lelek ("Andromeda"), and Greece's Akylas ("Ferto")—trader sentiment hinges on song strength, diaspora televote potential, and jury appeal from the 15 competing nations, plus votes from Germany and Italy. Early betting markets and data models position Finland, Greece, Israel, and Sweden as frontrunners for the 10 qualification spots on May 12 in Vienna, buoyed by strong previews and historical Nordic/Balkan success. First rehearsals next week could spark momentum shifts via staging reveals, while televote-heavy entries like Moldova risk jury snubs amid close races for the final slots.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Thị trường mở: Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET
Khối lượng
$477,251Ngày kết thúc
May 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With the running order for Eurovision 2026's First Semi-Final locked in since April 2—opening with Moldova's upbeat "Viva, Moldova!" by Satoshi and spotlighting contenders like Sweden's Felicia ("My System"), Croatia's Lelek ("Andromeda"), and Greece's Akylas ("Ferto")—trader sentiment hinges on song strength, diaspora televote potential, and jury appeal from the 15 competing nations, plus votes from Germany and Italy. Early betting markets and data models position Finland, Greece, Israel, and Sweden as frontrunners for the 10 qualification spots on May 12 in Vienna, buoyed by strong previews and historical Nordic/Balkan success. First rehearsals next week could spark momentum shifts via staging reveals, while televote-heavy entries like Moldova risk jury snubs amid close races for the final slots.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Khối lượng
$477,251Ngày kết thúc
May 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...With the running order for Eurovision 2026's First Semi-Final locked in since April 2—opening with Moldova's upbeat "Viva, Moldova!" by Satoshi and spotlighting contenders like Sweden's Felicia ("My System"), Croatia's Lelek ("Andromeda"), and Greece's Akylas ("Ferto")—trader sentiment hinges on song strength, diaspora televote potential, and jury appeal from the 15 competing nations, plus votes from Germany and Italy. Early betting markets and data models position Finland, Greece, Israel, and Sweden as frontrunners for the 10 qualification spots on May 12 in Vienna, buoyed by strong previews and historical Nordic/Balkan success. First rehearsals next week could spark momentum shifts via staging reveals, while televote-heavy entries like Moldova risk jury snubs amid close races for the final slots.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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