The Late Show with Stephen Colbert leads trader consensus at 66% implied probability due to its final-season farewell narrative after CBS cancellation, nine Emmy nominations, and recent Creative Arts Emmys sweeps in directing and writing that ended Last Week Tonight’s long streak. This positions the show as the strongest candidate to clear the 90% “yes” threshold under the new area-award rules, where multiple nominees could win if they independently merit the honor. Jimmy Kimmel Live!, Last Week Tonight, The Daily Show, and Saturday Night Live trail with far lower odds, reflecting their established records but limited recent momentum compared with Colbert’s send-off campaign. The Primetime Emmys ceremony airs tonight, September 14.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtEmmys 2026: Outstanding variety series
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” 66%
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!” 10.1%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” 7.0%
“The Daily Show” 6.3%
$279,401 KL.
$279,401 KL.
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”
66%
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!”
12%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver”
7%
“The Daily Show”
6%
“Saturday Night Live”
4%
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” 66%
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!” 10.1%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver” 7.0%
“The Daily Show” 6.3%
$279,401 KL.
$279,401 KL.
“The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”
66%
“Jimmy Kimmel Live!”
12%
“Last Week Tonight With John Oliver”
7%
“The Daily Show”
6%
“Saturday Night Live”
4%
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jul 9, 2026, 8:40 PM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding variety series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Late Show with Stephen Colbert leads trader consensus at 66% implied probability due to its final-season farewell narrative after CBS cancellation, nine Emmy nominations, and recent Creative Arts Emmys sweeps in directing and writing that ended Last Week Tonight’s long streak. This positions the show as the strongest candidate to clear the 90% “yes” threshold under the new area-award rules, where multiple nominees could win if they independently merit the honor. Jimmy Kimmel Live!, Last Week Tonight, The Daily Show, and Saturday Night Live trail with far lower odds, reflecting their established records but limited recent momentum compared with Colbert’s send-off campaign. The Primetime Emmys ceremony airs tonight, September 14.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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