Elon Musk’s established high-volume posting cadence on X, blending commentary on SpaceX milestones, Tesla developments, and real-time cultural and political moments, has cemented overwhelming trader consensus around the 260-279 tweet range for the May 19-26 window. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects his typical daily output exceeding 30-40 posts, amplified by ongoing platform engagement and no major disruptions in the period. An upset into the low-200s would require an extended absence or sharp reduction in activity, such as a sudden international trip or unprecedented external pressure, though historical patterns make such a drop highly improbable before the market resolves.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật260-279 100¢
<20 0¢
20-39 0¢
40-59 0¢
$10,705,912 KL.
$10,705,912 KL.
May 26, 2026
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200-219
No
220-239
No
240-259
No
260-279
Yes
280-299
No
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500+
No
260-279 100¢
<20 0¢
20-39 0¢
40-59 0¢
$10,705,912 KL.
$10,705,912 KL.
May 26, 2026
<20
$44,177 KL.
No
20-39
$4,414 KL.
No
40-59
$19,682 KL.
No
60-79
$28,129 KL.
No
80-99
$54,837 KL.
No
100-119
$90,768 KL.
No
120-139
$89,660 KL.
No
140-159
$160,129 KL.
No
160-179
$167,149 KL.
No
180-199
$358,465 KL.
No
200-219
$559,729 KL.
No
220-239
$937,736 KL.
No
240-259
$1,577,421 KL.
No
260-279
$857,624 KL.
Yes
280-299
$857,986 KL.
No
300-319
$785,843 KL.
No
320-339
$758,748 KL.
No
340-359
$552,675 KL.
No
360-379
$395,865 KL.
No
380-399
$363,807 KL.
No
400-419
$374,816 KL.
No
420-439
$343,869 KL.
No
440-459
$287,289 KL.
No
460-479
$314,614 KL.
No
480-499
$287,440 KL.
No
500+
$433,041 KL.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 19 12:00 PM ET to May 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established high-volume posting cadence on X, blending commentary on SpaceX milestones, Tesla developments, and real-time cultural and political moments, has cemented overwhelming trader consensus around the 260-279 tweet range for the May 19-26 window. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects his typical daily output exceeding 30-40 posts, amplified by ongoing platform engagement and no major disruptions in the period. An upset into the low-200s would require an extended absence or sharp reduction in activity, such as a sudden international trip or unprecedented external pressure, though historical patterns make such a drop highly improbable before the market resolves.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 19 12:00 PM ET to May 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: May 20, 2026, 12:17 PM ET
Khối lượng
$10,705,912Ngày kết thúc
May 26, 2026Thị trường mở
May 20, 2026, 12:17 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 19 12:00 PM ET to May 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s established high-volume posting cadence on X, blending commentary on SpaceX milestones, Tesla developments, and real-time cultural and political moments, has cemented overwhelming trader consensus around the 260-279 tweet range for the May 19-26 window. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects his typical daily output exceeding 30-40 posts, amplified by ongoing platform engagement and no major disruptions in the period. An upset into the low-200s would require an extended absence or sharp reduction in activity, such as a sudden international trip or unprecedented external pressure, though historical patterns make such a drop highly improbable before the market resolves.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 19 12:00 PM ET to May 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$10,705,912Ngày kết thúc
May 26, 2026Thị trường mở
May 20, 2026, 12:17 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Elon Musk’s established high-volume posting cadence on X, blending commentary on SpaceX milestones, Tesla developments, and real-time cultural and political moments, has cemented overwhelming trader consensus around the 260-279 tweet range for the May 19-26 window. This skin-in-the-game positioning reflects his typical daily output exceeding 30-40 posts, amplified by ongoing platform engagement and no major disruptions in the period. An upset into the low-200s would require an extended absence or sharp reduction in activity, such as a sudden international trip or unprecedented external pressure, though historical patterns make such a drop highly improbable before the market resolves.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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