Elon Musk’s verified posting volume on X from June 4–6, 2026, has settled squarely inside the 65–89 range, producing the market’s near-100% implied probability for that bucket. Traders track his account activity in real time, and the observed pace—shaped by ongoing commentary on SpaceX milestones, global news, and platform engagement—has consistently fallen within those parameters without major spikes or lulls. With the window nearly closed, the outcome is treated as effectively settled by direct count rather than speculation. An upset would require a substantial late surge or an unexpected change in how replies and reposts are tallied, scenarios that appear remote given the current data and historical patterns.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật65-89 100.0%
<40 <1%
40-64 <1%
90-114 <1%
$1,553,732 KL.
$1,553,732 KL.
Jun 6, 2026
<40
No
40-64
No
65-89
Yes
90-114
No
115-139
No
140-164
No
165-189
No
190-214
No
215-239
No
240+
No
65-89 100.0%
<40 <1%
40-64 <1%
90-114 <1%
$1,553,732 KL.
$1,553,732 KL.
Jun 6, 2026
<40
$291,054 KL.
No
40-64
$333,008 KL.
No
65-89
$294,085 KL.
Yes
90-114
$386,201 KL.
No
115-139
$124,283 KL.
No
140-164
$39,688 KL.
No
165-189
$42,976 KL.
No
190-214
$16,094 KL.
No
215-239
$13,544 KL.
No
240+
$12,799 KL.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 4 12:00 PM ET to June 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s verified posting volume on X from June 4–6, 2026, has settled squarely inside the 65–89 range, producing the market’s near-100% implied probability for that bucket. Traders track his account activity in real time, and the observed pace—shaped by ongoing commentary on SpaceX milestones, global news, and platform engagement—has consistently fallen within those parameters without major spikes or lulls. With the window nearly closed, the outcome is treated as effectively settled by direct count rather than speculation. An upset would require a substantial late surge or an unexpected change in how replies and reposts are tallied, scenarios that appear remote given the current data and historical patterns.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 4 12:00 PM ET to June 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Jun 1, 2026, 12:06 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,553,732Ngày kết thúc
Jun 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 1, 2026, 12:06 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 4 12:00 PM ET to June 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s verified posting volume on X from June 4–6, 2026, has settled squarely inside the 65–89 range, producing the market’s near-100% implied probability for that bucket. Traders track his account activity in real time, and the observed pace—shaped by ongoing commentary on SpaceX milestones, global news, and platform engagement—has consistently fallen within those parameters without major spikes or lulls. With the window nearly closed, the outcome is treated as effectively settled by direct count rather than speculation. An upset would require a substantial late surge or an unexpected change in how replies and reposts are tallied, scenarios that appear remote given the current data and historical patterns.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 4 12:00 PM ET to June 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$1,553,732Ngày kết thúc
Jun 6, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 1, 2026, 12:06 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Elon Musk’s verified posting volume on X from June 4–6, 2026, has settled squarely inside the 65–89 range, producing the market’s near-100% implied probability for that bucket. Traders track his account activity in real time, and the observed pace—shaped by ongoing commentary on SpaceX milestones, global news, and platform engagement—has consistently fallen within those parameters without major spikes or lulls. With the window nearly closed, the outcome is treated as effectively settled by direct count rather than speculation. An upset would require a substantial late surge or an unexpected change in how replies and reposts are tallied, scenarios that appear remote given the current data and historical patterns.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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