Elon Musk’s posting pace on X has stabilized in the low-to-mid 200s per week recently, creating tight clustering around the 180-219 ranges as the primary driver of current odds. Traders track daily volume against historical patterns, noting how product updates like FSD enhancements, regulatory news, or viral threads can spike activity without pushing totals into outlier territory. The competitive spread reflects uncertainty over whether the coming week will feature routine commentary or accelerated engagement tied to SpaceX or Tesla milestones, with no single catalyst yet dominating the narrative. Market-implied probabilities treat these mid-range outcomes as the baseline consensus given recent consistency.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật240-259 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$5,917,475 KL.
$5,917,475 KL.
Jun 26, 2026
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200-219
No
220-239
No
240-259
Yes
260-279
No
280-299
No
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500+
No
240-259 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$5,917,475 KL.
$5,917,475 KL.
Jun 26, 2026
<20
$14,481 KL.
No
20-39
$11,373 KL.
No
40-59
$21,573 KL.
No
60-79
$104,805 KL.
No
80-99
$110,677 KL.
No
100-119
$111,554 KL.
No
120-139
$141,137 KL.
No
140-159
$122,678 KL.
No
160-179
$259,345 KL.
No
180-199
$364,568 KL.
No
200-219
$426,668 KL.
No
220-239
$624,429 KL.
No
240-259
$442,528 KL.
Yes
260-279
$582,437 KL.
No
280-299
$509,226 KL.
No
300-319
$391,631 KL.
No
320-339
$303,933 KL.
No
340-359
$251,655 KL.
No
360-379
$213,474 KL.
No
380-399
$155,461 KL.
No
400-419
$153,618 KL.
No
420-439
$109,576 KL.
No
440-459
$143,100 KL.
No
460-479
$72,790 KL.
No
480-499
$72,970 KL.
No
500+
$201,787 KL.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 19 12:00 PM ET to June 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting pace on X has stabilized in the low-to-mid 200s per week recently, creating tight clustering around the 180-219 ranges as the primary driver of current odds. Traders track daily volume against historical patterns, noting how product updates like FSD enhancements, regulatory news, or viral threads can spike activity without pushing totals into outlier territory. The competitive spread reflects uncertainty over whether the coming week will feature routine commentary or accelerated engagement tied to SpaceX or Tesla milestones, with no single catalyst yet dominating the narrative. Market-implied probabilities treat these mid-range outcomes as the baseline consensus given recent consistency.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 19 12:00 PM ET to June 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Jun 16, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$5,917,475Ngày kết thúc
Jun 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 16, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 19 12:00 PM ET to June 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting pace on X has stabilized in the low-to-mid 200s per week recently, creating tight clustering around the 180-219 ranges as the primary driver of current odds. Traders track daily volume against historical patterns, noting how product updates like FSD enhancements, regulatory news, or viral threads can spike activity without pushing totals into outlier territory. The competitive spread reflects uncertainty over whether the coming week will feature routine commentary or accelerated engagement tied to SpaceX or Tesla milestones, with no single catalyst yet dominating the narrative. Market-implied probabilities treat these mid-range outcomes as the baseline consensus given recent consistency.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 19 12:00 PM ET to June 26, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$5,917,475Ngày kết thúc
Jun 26, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 16, 2026, 12:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Elon Musk’s posting pace on X has stabilized in the low-to-mid 200s per week recently, creating tight clustering around the 180-219 ranges as the primary driver of current odds. Traders track daily volume against historical patterns, noting how product updates like FSD enhancements, regulatory news, or viral threads can spike activity without pushing totals into outlier territory. The competitive spread reflects uncertainty over whether the coming week will feature routine commentary or accelerated engagement tied to SpaceX or Tesla milestones, with no single catalyst yet dominating the narrative. Market-implied probabilities treat these mid-range outcomes as the baseline consensus given recent consistency.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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