Elon Musk’s sustained high-volume posting on X—typically 25–35 times daily across business updates, Grok/xAI commentary, Tesla and SpaceX developments, and real-time cultural or political reactions—anchors trader expectations for the June 16–23 window, with the tightest implied probabilities clustered on the 180–219 ranges. Recent data shows elevated daily output, including 69 posts on June 17 alone spanning Starlink, AI, and policy topics, reinforcing the market’s view of consistent momentum without major scheduled catalysts like launches or earnings that could spike or suppress volume. The near-even split between 200–219 and 180–199 reflects uncertainty over whether ongoing engagement trends or any late-week news surges will push totals higher, while historical weekly totals near 200 keep lower and higher brackets as longer shots.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật200-219 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$5,348,664 KL.
$5,348,664 KL.
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200-219
Yes
220-239
No
240-259
No
260-279
No
280-299
No
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500+
No
200-219 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$5,348,664 KL.
$5,348,664 KL.
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200-219
Yes
220-239
No
240-259
No
260-279
No
280-299
No
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500+
No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Jun 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Elon Musk’s sustained high-volume posting on X—typically 25–35 times daily across business updates, Grok/xAI commentary, Tesla and SpaceX developments, and real-time cultural or political reactions—anchors trader expectations for the June 16–23 window, with the tightest implied probabilities clustered on the 180–219 ranges. Recent data shows elevated daily output, including 69 posts on June 17 alone spanning Starlink, AI, and policy topics, reinforcing the market’s view of consistent momentum without major scheduled catalysts like launches or earnings that could spike or suppress volume. The near-even split between 200–219 and 180–199 reflects uncertainty over whether ongoing engagement trends or any late-week news surges will push totals higher, while historical weekly totals near 200 keep lower and higher brackets as longer shots.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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