Elon Musk's established posting cadence on X has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward the 240-259 tweet range for August 14-21, 2026, reflecting his typical daily output of roughly 35-40 posts when not on extended breaks. This bin captures the platform's historical weekly averages during periods without major travel, regulatory hearings, or product launches that might spike or suppress activity. With the market window closing, the near-100% implied probability underscores how consistently Musk's verified account has tracked in this zone absent sudden shifts in schedule or external events. An upset to adjacent ranges would require an abrupt change, such as a multi-day pause or unusually intense engagement around breaking news.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật240-259 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$5,584,552 KL.
$5,584,552 KL.
Aug 21, 2026
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
No
180-199
No
200-219
No
220-239
No
240-259
Yes
260-279
No
280-299
No
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500+
No
240-259 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$5,584,552 KL.
$5,584,552 KL.
Aug 21, 2026
<20
$2,883 KL.
No
20-39
$1,883 KL.
No
40-59
$22,883 KL.
No
60-79
$112,262 KL.
No
80-99
$210,546 KL.
No
100-119
$234,454 KL.
No
120-139
$216,425 KL.
No
140-159
$205,470 KL.
No
160-179
$283,001 KL.
No
180-199
$363,781 KL.
No
200-219
$440,366 KL.
No
220-239
$409,184 KL.
No
240-259
$558,196 KL.
Yes
260-279
$462,405 KL.
No
280-299
$482,299 KL.
No
300-319
$426,770 KL.
No
320-339
$350,641 KL.
No
340-359
$231,376 KL.
No
360-379
$174,317 KL.
No
380-399
$117,030 KL.
No
400-419
$112,055 KL.
No
420-439
$31,195 KL.
No
440-459
$42,643 KL.
No
460-479
$28,658 KL.
No
480-499
$8,658 KL.
No
500+
$55,173 KL.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established posting cadence on X has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward the 240-259 tweet range for August 14-21, 2026, reflecting his typical daily output of roughly 35-40 posts when not on extended breaks. This bin captures the platform's historical weekly averages during periods without major travel, regulatory hearings, or product launches that might spike or suppress activity. With the market window closing, the near-100% implied probability underscores how consistently Musk's verified account has tracked in this zone absent sudden shifts in schedule or external events. An upset to adjacent ranges would require an abrupt change, such as a multi-day pause or unusually intense engagement around breaking news.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Khối lượng
$5,584,552Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk's established posting cadence on X has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward the 240-259 tweet range for August 14-21, 2026, reflecting his typical daily output of roughly 35-40 posts when not on extended breaks. This bin captures the platform's historical weekly averages during periods without major travel, regulatory hearings, or product launches that might spike or suppress activity. With the market window closing, the near-100% implied probability underscores how consistently Musk's verified account has tracked in this zone absent sudden shifts in schedule or external events. An upset to adjacent ranges would require an abrupt change, such as a multi-day pause or unusually intense engagement around breaking news.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$5,584,552Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Elon Musk's established posting cadence on X has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward the 240-259 tweet range for August 14-21, 2026, reflecting his typical daily output of roughly 35-40 posts when not on extended breaks. This bin captures the platform's historical weekly averages during periods without major travel, regulatory hearings, or product launches that might spike or suppress activity. With the market window closing, the near-100% implied probability underscores how consistently Musk's verified account has tracked in this zone absent sudden shifts in schedule or external events. An upset to adjacent ranges would require an abrupt change, such as a multi-day pause or unusually intense engagement around breaking news.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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