Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace across the week, fueled by ongoing commentary on AI advancements, space initiatives, and platform updates, has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward the 160-179 range at 100% implied probability. Consistent daily activity on X, including quote tweets and replies tied to industry events, has aligned with historical patterns of high-volume weeks for the account. With the resolution window closing imminently, this frontrunner status reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of verified feed activity. An upset to a lower bin would require an abrupt slowdown in the final hours or disputes over what qualifies as a main-feed post, though such shifts appear unlikely given sustained momentum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật160-179 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$2,762,628 KL.
$2,762,628 KL.
Aug 18, 2026
<20
No
20-39
No
40-59
No
60-79
No
80-99
No
100-119
No
120-139
No
140-159
No
160-179
Yes
180-199
No
200-219
No
220-239
No
240-259
No
260-279
No
280-299
No
300-319
No
320-339
No
340-359
No
360-379
No
380-399
No
400-419
No
420-439
No
440-459
No
460-479
No
480-499
No
500+
No
160-179 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$2,762,628 KL.
$2,762,628 KL.
Aug 18, 2026
<20
$4,115 KL.
No
20-39
$5,115 KL.
No
40-59
$5,715 KL.
No
60-79
$28,367 KL.
No
80-99
$53,904 KL.
No
100-119
$70,450 KL.
No
120-139
$255,494 KL.
No
140-159
$545,802 KL.
No
160-179
$338,671 KL.
Yes
180-199
$392,097 KL.
No
200-219
$213,931 KL.
No
220-239
$165,344 KL.
No
240-259
$145,566 KL.
No
260-279
$112,017 KL.
No
280-299
$93,959 KL.
No
300-319
$83,111 KL.
No
320-339
$43,368 KL.
No
340-359
$42,323 KL.
No
360-379
$29,969 KL.
No
380-399
$25,087 KL.
No
400-419
$22,118 KL.
No
420-439
$15,300 KL.
No
440-459
$15,044 KL.
No
460-479
$6,196 KL.
No
480-499
$5,696 KL.
No
500+
$43,869 KL.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace across the week, fueled by ongoing commentary on AI advancements, space initiatives, and platform updates, has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward the 160-179 range at 100% implied probability. Consistent daily activity on X, including quote tweets and replies tied to industry events, has aligned with historical patterns of high-volume weeks for the account. With the resolution window closing imminently, this frontrunner status reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of verified feed activity. An upset to a lower bin would require an abrupt slowdown in the final hours or disputes over what qualifies as a main-feed post, though such shifts appear unlikely given sustained momentum.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,762,628Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace across the week, fueled by ongoing commentary on AI advancements, space initiatives, and platform updates, has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward the 160-179 range at 100% implied probability. Consistent daily activity on X, including quote tweets and replies tied to industry events, has aligned with historical patterns of high-volume weeks for the account. With the resolution window closing imminently, this frontrunner status reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of verified feed activity. An upset to a lower bin would require an abrupt slowdown in the final hours or disputes over what qualifies as a main-feed post, though such shifts appear unlikely given sustained momentum.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 11 12:00 PM ET to August 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$2,762,628Ngày kết thúc
Aug 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Elon Musk’s elevated posting pace across the week, fueled by ongoing commentary on AI advancements, space initiatives, and platform updates, has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward the 160-179 range at 100% implied probability. Consistent daily activity on X, including quote tweets and replies tied to industry events, has aligned with historical patterns of high-volume weeks for the account. With the resolution window closing imminently, this frontrunner status reflects skin-in-the-game assessment of verified feed activity. An upset to a lower bin would require an abrupt slowdown in the final hours or disputes over what qualifies as a main-feed post, though such shifts appear unlikely given sustained momentum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp