Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability on Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 16-18, 2026, driven by his consistently moderate daily output of 25-35 posts, including a confirmed 32 on April 17 amid no major controversies or announcements sparking higher volume. Real-time trackers and prior weekly markets resolving around 35 tweets per day underscore this steady rhythm, with two days complete and April 18's early activity showing no surge, cementing the frontrunner as the period winds down. While unpredictable viral moments define celebrity social media trajectories, an upset hinges on a rare tweeting marathon—say, 40+ posts today from breaking Tesla/SpaceX news—though recent patterns and the "wisdom of crowds" pricing in real capital deem this highly unlikely.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật65-89 100.0%
<40 <1%
40-64 <1%
90-114 <1%
$1,758,532 KL.
$1,758,532 KL.
Apr 18, 2026
<40
Không
40-64
Không
65-89
Có
90-114
Không
115-139
Không
140-164
Không
165-189
Không
190-214
Không
215-239
Không
240+
Không
65-89 100.0%
<40 <1%
40-64 <1%
90-114 <1%
$1,758,532 KL.
$1,758,532 KL.
Apr 18, 2026
<40
$219,309 KL.
Không
40-64
$227,964 KL.
Không
65-89
$299,100 KL.
Có
90-114
$368,062 KL.
Không
115-139
$267,777 KL.
Không
140-164
$139,452 KL.
Không
165-189
$68,265 KL.
Không
190-214
$77,479 KL.
Không
215-239
$35,132 KL.
Không
240+
$55,992 KL.
Không
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability on Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 16-18, 2026, driven by his consistently moderate daily output of 25-35 posts, including a confirmed 32 on April 17 amid no major controversies or announcements sparking higher volume. Real-time trackers and prior weekly markets resolving around 35 tweets per day underscore this steady rhythm, with two days complete and April 18's early activity showing no surge, cementing the frontrunner as the period winds down. While unpredictable viral moments define celebrity social media trajectories, an upset hinges on a rare tweeting marathon—say, 40+ posts today from breaking Tesla/SpaceX news—though recent patterns and the "wisdom of crowds" pricing in real capital deem this highly unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,758,532Ngày kết thúc
Apr 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: Không
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Không
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability on Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 16-18, 2026, driven by his consistently moderate daily output of 25-35 posts, including a confirmed 32 on April 17 amid no major controversies or announcements sparking higher volume. Real-time trackers and prior weekly markets resolving around 35 tweets per day underscore this steady rhythm, with two days complete and April 18's early activity showing no surge, cementing the frontrunner as the period winds down. While unpredictable viral moments define celebrity social media trajectories, an upset hinges on a rare tweeting marathon—say, 40+ posts today from breaking Tesla/SpaceX news—though recent patterns and the "wisdom of crowds" pricing in real capital deem this highly unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$1,758,532Ngày kết thúc
Apr 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: Không
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Không
Trader consensus has locked in a 100% implied probability on Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 16-18, 2026, driven by his consistently moderate daily output of 25-35 posts, including a confirmed 32 on April 17 amid no major controversies or announcements sparking higher volume. Real-time trackers and prior weekly markets resolving around 35 tweets per day underscore this steady rhythm, with two days complete and April 18's early activity showing no surge, cementing the frontrunner as the period winds down. While unpredictable viral moments define celebrity social media trajectories, an upset hinges on a rare tweeting marathon—say, 40+ posts today from breaking Tesla/SpaceX news—though recent patterns and the "wisdom of crowds" pricing in real capital deem this highly unlikely.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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