Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to Elon Musk posting 220-239 times on X from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21 12:00 PM ET, driven by public trackers confirming a steady pace of over 30 main feed posts, quotes, and reposts daily amid XChat rollout buzz, Tesla updates, SpaceX launches, and viral commentary on demographics and tech. No lulls disrupted his high-volume rhythm, aligning with historical weekly tallies of 200-300 and recent active days like April 21. Realistic upsets to 200-219 (0.1%) would require improbable mass deletions or tracker disputes, as multiple sources verify the count post-period close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật220-239 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$12,227,325 KL.
$12,227,325 KL.
Apr 21, 2026
<20
Không
20-39
Không
40-59
Không
60-79
Không
80-99
Không
100-119
Không
120-139
Không
140-159
Không
160-179
Không
180-199
Không
200-219
Không
220-239
Có
240-259
Không
260-279
Không
280-299
Không
300-319
Không
320-339
Không
340-359
Không
360-379
Không
380-399
Không
400-419
Không
420-439
Không
440-459
Không
460-479
Không
480-499
Không
500-519
Không
520-539
Không
540-559
Không
560-579
Không
580+
Không
220-239 100.0%
<20 <1%
20-39 <1%
40-59 <1%
$12,227,325 KL.
$12,227,325 KL.
Apr 21, 2026
<20
$304,767 KL.
Không
20-39
$60,420 KL.
Không
40-59
$70,450 KL.
Không
60-79
$150,173 KL.
Không
80-99
$215,220 KL.
Không
100-119
$210,972 KL.
Không
120-139
$238,850 KL.
Không
140-159
$351,286 KL.
Không
160-179
$511,939 KL.
Không
180-199
$878,289 KL.
Không
200-219
$1,334,593 KL.
Không
220-239
$892,737 KL.
Có
240-259
$1,028,751 KL.
Không
260-279
$692,828 KL.
Không
280-299
$554,573 KL.
Không
300-319
$664,404 KL.
Không
320-339
$532,991 KL.
Không
340-359
$478,464 KL.
Không
360-379
$349,885 KL.
Không
380-399
$282,659 KL.
Không
400-419
$298,309 KL.
Không
420-439
$245,327 KL.
Không
440-459
$225,085 KL.
Không
460-479
$242,454 KL.
Không
480-499
$184,731 KL.
Không
500-519
$193,816 KL.
Không
520-539
$186,997 KL.
Không
540-559
$253,855 KL.
Không
560-579
$203,882 KL.
Không
580+
$388,618 KL.
Không
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to Elon Musk posting 220-239 times on X from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21 12:00 PM ET, driven by public trackers confirming a steady pace of over 30 main feed posts, quotes, and reposts daily amid XChat rollout buzz, Tesla updates, SpaceX launches, and viral commentary on demographics and tech. No lulls disrupted his high-volume rhythm, aligning with historical weekly tallies of 200-300 and recent active days like April 21. Realistic upsets to 200-219 (0.1%) would require improbable mass deletions or tracker disputes, as multiple sources verify the count post-period close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Thị trường mở: Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Khối lượng
$12,227,325Ngày kết thúc
Apr 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: Không
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Không
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to Elon Musk posting 220-239 times on X from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21 12:00 PM ET, driven by public trackers confirming a steady pace of over 30 main feed posts, quotes, and reposts daily amid XChat rollout buzz, Tesla updates, SpaceX launches, and viral commentary on demographics and tech. No lulls disrupted his high-volume rhythm, aligning with historical weekly tallies of 200-300 and recent active days like April 21. Realistic upsets to 200-219 (0.1%) would require improbable mass deletions or tracker disputes, as multiple sources verify the count post-period close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Khối lượng
$12,227,325Ngày kết thúc
Apr 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: Không
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Không
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to Elon Musk posting 220-239 times on X from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21 12:00 PM ET, driven by public trackers confirming a steady pace of over 30 main feed posts, quotes, and reposts daily amid XChat rollout buzz, Tesla updates, SpaceX launches, and viral commentary on demographics and tech. No lulls disrupted his high-volume rhythm, aligning with historical weekly tallies of 200-300 and recent active days like April 21. Realistic upsets to 200-219 (0.1%) would require improbable mass deletions or tracker disputes, as multiple sources verify the count post-period close.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp