Discord's secondary-market pricing near $8.5 billion anchors trader sentiment around the 8–11 billion IPO outcome, reflecting revenue of roughly $560–725 million annually with Nitro-driven growth and 200 million-plus monthly active users. The 19.6 percent probability assigned to no IPO by end-2027 captures ongoing delays since the January 2026 confidential filing, as management weighs public-market conditions, interest-rate stability, and valuation multiples against the 2021 peak of $15 billion. Competitive positioning in gaming-adjacent communications, potential ad and creator monetization expansion, and advisor involvement with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan remain key swing factors, while the broad distribution of outcomes underscores uncertainty over timing, final pricing, and macroeconomic influences on equity risk appetite.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật8–11B 25%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 19.6%
<5B 17%
20B+ 15.7%
$26,027 KL.
$26,027 KL.
<5B
17%
5–8B
13%
8–11B
25%
11–14B
6%
14–17B
2%
17–20B
10%
20B+
16%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
20%
8–11B 25%
No IPO by December 31, 2027 19.6%
<5B 17%
20B+ 15.7%
$26,027 KL.
$26,027 KL.
<5B
17%
5–8B
13%
8–11B
25%
11–14B
6%
14–17B
2%
17–20B
10%
20B+
16%
No IPO by December 31, 2027
20%
If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Thị trường mở: Jun 26, 2026, 5:50 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Discord's secondary-market pricing near $8.5 billion anchors trader sentiment around the 8–11 billion IPO outcome, reflecting revenue of roughly $560–725 million annually with Nitro-driven growth and 200 million-plus monthly active users. The 19.6 percent probability assigned to no IPO by end-2027 captures ongoing delays since the January 2026 confidential filing, as management weighs public-market conditions, interest-rate stability, and valuation multiples against the 2021 peak of $15 billion. Competitive positioning in gaming-adjacent communications, potential ad and creator monetization expansion, and advisor involvement with Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan remain key swing factors, while the broad distribution of outcomes underscores uncertainty over timing, final pricing, and macroeconomic influences on equity risk appetite.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật



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