Connecticut’s 4th congressional district maintains a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and has sent only Democrats to the House since 2007, anchoring trader consensus on a Democratic victory in the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Jim Himes, first elected in 2009 and re-elected with 61 percent in 2024, faces a Democratic primary on August 11 but retains substantial name recognition and fundraising advantages. Republican primary contenders have shown limited resources or profile to mount a credible general-election challenge. All major rating firms classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. A Democratic outcome could face pressure from an unforeseen primary upset, a historic national political shift, or late-cycle turnout changes, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCT-04 House Election Winner
CT-04 House Election Winner
$32,367 KL.
$32,367 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
4%
$32,367 KL.
$32,367 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,042 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$18,325 KL.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Connecticut’s 4th congressional district maintains a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and has sent only Democrats to the House since 2007, anchoring trader consensus on a Democratic victory in the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Jim Himes, first elected in 2009 and re-elected with 61 percent in 2024, faces a Democratic primary on August 11 but retains substantial name recognition and fundraising advantages. Republican primary contenders have shown limited resources or profile to mount a credible general-election challenge. All major rating firms classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. A Democratic outcome could face pressure from an unforeseen primary upset, a historic national political shift, or late-cycle turnout changes, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$32,367Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Connecticut’s 4th congressional district maintains a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and has sent only Democrats to the House since 2007, anchoring trader consensus on a Democratic victory in the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Jim Himes, first elected in 2009 and re-elected with 61 percent in 2024, faces a Democratic primary on August 11 but retains substantial name recognition and fundraising advantages. Republican primary contenders have shown limited resources or profile to mount a credible general-election challenge. All major rating firms classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. A Democratic outcome could face pressure from an unforeseen primary upset, a historic national political shift, or late-cycle turnout changes, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$32,367Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Connecticut’s 4th congressional district maintains a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and has sent only Democrats to the House since 2007, anchoring trader consensus on a Democratic victory in the November 3, 2026 general election. Incumbent Jim Himes, first elected in 2009 and re-elected with 61 percent in 2024, faces a Democratic primary on August 11 but retains substantial name recognition and fundraising advantages. Republican primary contenders have shown limited resources or profile to mount a credible general-election challenge. All major rating firms classify the seat as solid or safe Democratic. A Democratic outcome could face pressure from an unforeseen primary upset, a historic national political shift, or late-cycle turnout changes, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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