Incumbent Rep. Jim Himes' bid for re-election in Connecticut's 4th Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat with a D+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at commanding levels. Himes, who has held the district since 2009 with consistent double-digit margins, faces a low-profile primary challenger in Joseph Perez-Caputo ahead of the August 11 primaries, while Republican Damon Cerreta represents the GOP side so far. No major developments in the past 30 days, including recent protests over Himes' support for FISA reauthorization, have altered the safe blue dynamics. Odds could shift via a high-profile GOP recruit post-June 9 filing deadline, Himes' withdrawal, a primary upset, scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCT-04 House Election Winner
CT-04 House Election Winner
$25,842 KL.
$25,842 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
5%
$25,842 KL.
$25,842 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$13,362 KL.
93%
Republican Party
$12,480 KL.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jim Himes' bid for re-election in Connecticut's 4th Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat with a D+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at commanding levels. Himes, who has held the district since 2009 with consistent double-digit margins, faces a low-profile primary challenger in Joseph Perez-Caputo ahead of the August 11 primaries, while Republican Damon Cerreta represents the GOP side so far. No major developments in the past 30 days, including recent protests over Himes' support for FISA reauthorization, have altered the safe blue dynamics. Odds could shift via a high-profile GOP recruit post-June 9 filing deadline, Himes' withdrawal, a primary upset, scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$25,842Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Jim Himes' bid for re-election in Connecticut's 4th Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat with a D+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at commanding levels. Himes, who has held the district since 2009 with consistent double-digit margins, faces a low-profile primary challenger in Joseph Perez-Caputo ahead of the August 11 primaries, while Republican Damon Cerreta represents the GOP side so far. No major developments in the past 30 days, including recent protests over Himes' support for FISA reauthorization, have altered the safe blue dynamics. Odds could shift via a high-profile GOP recruit post-June 9 filing deadline, Himes' withdrawal, a primary upset, scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$25,842Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Jim Himes' bid for re-election in Connecticut's 4th Congressional District, a solidly Democratic seat with a D+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at commanding levels. Himes, who has held the district since 2009 with consistent double-digit margins, faces a low-profile primary challenger in Joseph Perez-Caputo ahead of the August 11 primaries, while Republican Damon Cerreta represents the GOP side so far. No major developments in the past 30 days, including recent protests over Himes' support for FISA reauthorization, have altered the safe blue dynamics. Odds could shift via a high-profile GOP recruit post-June 9 filing deadline, Himes' withdrawal, a primary upset, scandal, or national midterm wave favoring Republicans.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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