Recent softness in June 2026 core CPI, which printed flat month-over-month against 0.2% expectations and lowered the annual rate to 2.6%, has anchored trader sentiment for the July reading ahead of its August 12 release. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to a 0.21% core MoM increase, aligning with the market's 54.9% implied probability on 0.2% and supporting 0.1% as the next most likely outcome at 26.5%. The FOMC's July 29 decision to hold the fed funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75% amid lingering supply-driven pressures has reinforced caution, though the recent cooling in shelter and goods prices suggests limited upside risk unless energy or services rebound sharply.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCore CPI MoM - July 2026
Core CPI MoM - July 2026
0.2% 54.9%
0.1% 26.5%
0.3% 17.1%
≤0.0% 3.8%
$101,736 KL.
$101,736 KL.
Aug 12, 2026
≤0.0%
4%
0.1%
27%
0.2%
55%
0.3%
17%
0.4%
1%
0.5%
<1%
0.6%+
<1%
0.2% 54.9%
0.1% 26.5%
0.3% 17.1%
≤0.0% 3.8%
$101,736 KL.
$101,736 KL.
Aug 12, 2026
≤0.0%
$5,834 KL.
4%
0.1%
$23,113 KL.
27%
0.2%
$34,544 KL.
55%
0.3%
$25,643 KL.
17%
0.4%
$5,975 KL.
1%
0.5%
$3,548 KL.
<1%
0.6%+
$3,079 KL.
<1%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent softness in June 2026 core CPI, which printed flat month-over-month against 0.2% expectations and lowered the annual rate to 2.6%, has anchored trader sentiment for the July reading ahead of its August 12 release. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to a 0.21% core MoM increase, aligning with the market's 54.9% implied probability on 0.2% and supporting 0.1% as the next most likely outcome at 26.5%. The FOMC's July 29 decision to hold the fed funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75% amid lingering supply-driven pressures has reinforced caution, though the recent cooling in shelter and goods prices suggests limited upside risk unless energy or services rebound sharply.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Thị trường mở: Jul 5, 2026, 3:52 PM ET
Khối lượng
$101,736Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 5, 2026, 3:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent softness in June 2026 core CPI, which printed flat month-over-month against 0.2% expectations and lowered the annual rate to 2.6%, has anchored trader sentiment for the July reading ahead of its August 12 release. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to a 0.21% core MoM increase, aligning with the market's 54.9% implied probability on 0.2% and supporting 0.1% as the next most likely outcome at 26.5%. The FOMC's July 29 decision to hold the fed funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75% amid lingering supply-driven pressures has reinforced caution, though the recent cooling in shelter and goods prices suggests limited upside risk unless energy or services rebound sharply.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Khối lượng
$101,736Ngày kết thúc
Aug 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 5, 2026, 3:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent softness in June 2026 core CPI, which printed flat month-over-month against 0.2% expectations and lowered the annual rate to 2.6%, has anchored trader sentiment for the July reading ahead of its August 12 release. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to a 0.21% core MoM increase, aligning with the market's 54.9% implied probability on 0.2% and supporting 0.1% as the next most likely outcome at 26.5%. The FOMC's July 29 decision to hold the fed funds rate steady at 3.5%-3.75% amid lingering supply-driven pressures has reinforced caution, though the recent cooling in shelter and goods prices suggests limited upside risk unless energy or services rebound sharply.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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