**Recent US-Iran negotiations have produced a June 2026 memorandum of understanding focused on a ceasefire, Strait of Hormuz access, sanctions relief, and a 60-day window for further talks on nuclear issues, yet no comprehensive agreement requiring congressional approval has emerged.** President Trump’s administration has pursued bilateral talks amid ongoing regional tensions, with the MoU emphasizing economic measures and verified steps on enriched uranium rather than a revived JCPOA-style framework. Congressional approval for sanctions waivers or a formal nuclear accord would demand broad bipartisan support, which remains unlikely given partisan divisions, Republican skepticism of Iran deals, and the administration’s historical preference for executive leverage over legislative commitments. As of early August 2026, talks continue without reported breakthroughs that would trigger a congressional vote, reinforcing trader consensus around an 86% probability that Congress will not approve an Iran deal this year.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCongress approves Iran deal in 2026?
Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?
14% khả năng
$12,381 KL.
$12,381 KL.
Jan 1, 2027
14% khả năng
$12,381 KL.
$12,381 KL.
Jan 1, 2027
This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Recent US-Iran negotiations have produced a June 2026 memorandum of understanding focused on a ceasefire, Strait of Hormuz access, sanctions relief, and a 60-day window for further talks on nuclear issues, yet no comprehensive agreement requiring congressional approval has emerged.**
President Trump’s administration has pursued bilateral talks amid ongoing regional tensions, with the MoU emphasizing economic measures and verified steps on enriched uranium rather than a revived JCPOA-style framework. Congressional approval for sanctions waivers or a formal nuclear accord would demand broad bipartisan support, which remains unlikely given partisan divisions, Republican skepticism of Iran deals, and the administration’s historical preference for executive leverage over legislative commitments. As of early August 2026, talks continue without reported breakthroughs that would trigger a congressional vote, reinforcing trader consensus around an 86% probability that Congress will not approve an Iran deal this year.
This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jun 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ET
Khối lượng
$12,381Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jun 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Recent US-Iran negotiations have produced a June 2026 memorandum of understanding focused on a ceasefire, Strait of Hormuz access, sanctions relief, and a 60-day window for further talks on nuclear issues, yet no comprehensive agreement requiring congressional approval has emerged.**
President Trump’s administration has pursued bilateral talks amid ongoing regional tensions, with the MoU emphasizing economic measures and verified steps on enriched uranium rather than a revived JCPOA-style framework. Congressional approval for sanctions waivers or a formal nuclear accord would demand broad bipartisan support, which remains unlikely given partisan divisions, Republican skepticism of Iran deals, and the administration’s historical preference for executive leverage over legislative commitments. As of early August 2026, talks continue without reported breakthroughs that would trigger a congressional vote, reinforcing trader consensus around an 86% probability that Congress will not approve an Iran deal this year.
This market will resolve to “Yes" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$12,381Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jun 16, 2026, 2:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Recent US-Iran negotiations have produced a June 2026 memorandum of understanding focused on a ceasefire, Strait of Hormuz access, sanctions relief, and a 60-day window for further talks on nuclear issues, yet no comprehensive agreement requiring congressional approval has emerged.** President Trump’s administration has pursued bilateral talks amid ongoing regional tensions, with the MoU emphasizing economic measures and verified steps on enriched uranium rather than a revived JCPOA-style framework. Congressional approval for sanctions waivers or a formal nuclear accord would demand broad bipartisan support, which remains unlikely given partisan divisions, Republican skepticism of Iran deals, and the administration’s historical preference for executive leverage over legislative commitments. As of early August 2026, talks continue without reported breakthroughs that would trigger a congressional vote, reinforcing trader consensus around an 86% probability that Congress will not approve an Iran deal this year.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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