California's 38th Congressional District, an open seat after Rep. Linda Sánchez shifted to CA-41, reflects strong Democratic fundamentals with a D+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent general election margins exceeding 20 points, driving trader consensus to 93% for the Democratic Party. Ahead of the June 2 top-two primary—where early voting began May 4—state Democratic Party-endorsed Hilda Solis leads fundraising at over $740,000 raised, dwarfing lone Republican Pedro Casas's zero reported funds, alongside competitors Monica Sanchez and Erik Lutz. Ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball confirm Solid/Safe Democratic status. Realistic challenges include a surprise GOP primary advancement amid Democratic vote-splitting, paired with a national Republican wave, nominee scandal, or low Democratic turnout in November.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-38 House Election Winner
CA-38 House Election Winner
$57,297 KL.
$57,297 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
6%
$57,297 KL.
$57,297 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$28,855 KL.
93%
Republican Party
$28,442 KL.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 38th Congressional District, an open seat after Rep. Linda Sánchez shifted to CA-41, reflects strong Democratic fundamentals with a D+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent general election margins exceeding 20 points, driving trader consensus to 93% for the Democratic Party. Ahead of the June 2 top-two primary—where early voting began May 4—state Democratic Party-endorsed Hilda Solis leads fundraising at over $740,000 raised, dwarfing lone Republican Pedro Casas's zero reported funds, alongside competitors Monica Sanchez and Erik Lutz. Ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball confirm Solid/Safe Democratic status. Realistic challenges include a surprise GOP primary advancement amid Democratic vote-splitting, paired with a national Republican wave, nominee scandal, or low Democratic turnout in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$57,297Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 38th Congressional District, an open seat after Rep. Linda Sánchez shifted to CA-41, reflects strong Democratic fundamentals with a D+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent general election margins exceeding 20 points, driving trader consensus to 93% for the Democratic Party. Ahead of the June 2 top-two primary—where early voting began May 4—state Democratic Party-endorsed Hilda Solis leads fundraising at over $740,000 raised, dwarfing lone Republican Pedro Casas's zero reported funds, alongside competitors Monica Sanchez and Erik Lutz. Ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball confirm Solid/Safe Democratic status. Realistic challenges include a surprise GOP primary advancement amid Democratic vote-splitting, paired with a national Republican wave, nominee scandal, or low Democratic turnout in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$57,297Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 38th Congressional District, an open seat after Rep. Linda Sánchez shifted to CA-41, reflects strong Democratic fundamentals with a D+10 Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent general election margins exceeding 20 points, driving trader consensus to 93% for the Democratic Party. Ahead of the June 2 top-two primary—where early voting began May 4—state Democratic Party-endorsed Hilda Solis leads fundraising at over $740,000 raised, dwarfing lone Republican Pedro Casas's zero reported funds, alongside competitors Monica Sanchez and Erik Lutz. Ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball confirm Solid/Safe Democratic status. Realistic challenges include a surprise GOP primary advancement amid Democratic vote-splitting, paired with a national Republican wave, nominee scandal, or low Democratic turnout in November.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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