Incumbent Rep. Brad Sherman (D) dominates California's 32nd Congressional District race with over $4.8 million cash-on-hand as of late March fundraising reports, far outpacing Democratic challengers like Jake Levine ($1 million) and the sole Republican, Larry Thompson (under $1,000), in the June 2 top-two primary. Forecasters rate CA-32 Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting the district's 61-36 Harris-Trump 2024 margin and Sherman's consistent 66%+ victories. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats stems from the likelihood of two Democrats advancing to the November 3 general election. A Republican primary upset or major Democratic scandal could challenge this, though historical patterns and weak GOP fundraising make such shifts improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-32 House Election Winner
CA-32 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
8%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,553 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$3,470 KL.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Brad Sherman (D) dominates California's 32nd Congressional District race with over $4.8 million cash-on-hand as of late March fundraising reports, far outpacing Democratic challengers like Jake Levine ($1 million) and the sole Republican, Larry Thompson (under $1,000), in the June 2 top-two primary. Forecasters rate CA-32 Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting the district's 61-36 Harris-Trump 2024 margin and Sherman's consistent 66%+ victories. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats stems from the likelihood of two Democrats advancing to the November 3 general election. A Republican primary upset or major Democratic scandal could challenge this, though historical patterns and weak GOP fundraising make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Khối lượng
$7,023Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Brad Sherman (D) dominates California's 32nd Congressional District race with over $4.8 million cash-on-hand as of late March fundraising reports, far outpacing Democratic challengers like Jake Levine ($1 million) and the sole Republican, Larry Thompson (under $1,000), in the June 2 top-two primary. Forecasters rate CA-32 Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting the district's 61-36 Harris-Trump 2024 margin and Sherman's consistent 66%+ victories. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats stems from the likelihood of two Democrats advancing to the November 3 general election. A Republican primary upset or major Democratic scandal could challenge this, though historical patterns and weak GOP fundraising make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$7,023Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Brad Sherman (D) dominates California's 32nd Congressional District race with over $4.8 million cash-on-hand as of late March fundraising reports, far outpacing Democratic challengers like Jake Levine ($1 million) and the sole Republican, Larry Thompson (under $1,000), in the June 2 top-two primary. Forecasters rate CA-32 Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting the district's 61-36 Harris-Trump 2024 margin and Sherman's consistent 66%+ victories. Trader consensus at 93.5% for Democrats stems from the likelihood of two Democrats advancing to the November 3 general election. A Republican primary upset or major Democratic scandal could challenge this, though historical patterns and weak GOP fundraising make such shifts improbable.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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