The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 Partisan Voter Index and voter registration advantage exceeding two-to-one, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic winner at 92.5 percent. Longtime incumbent Brad Sherman benefits from established name recognition, substantial fundraising superiority with millions in cash on hand, and consistent endorsements from state party organizations ahead of the June 2 top-two primary and November 3 general election. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on historical margins exceeding 30 points. A Republican victory would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal by Sherman, or dramatic national political shift within the resolution window to overcome these structural barriers.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-32 House Election Winner
CA-32 House Election Winner
$14,412 KL.
$14,412 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$14,412 KL.
$14,412 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,871 KL.
93%
Republican Party
$8,541 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 Partisan Voter Index and voter registration advantage exceeding two-to-one, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic winner at 92.5 percent. Longtime incumbent Brad Sherman benefits from established name recognition, substantial fundraising superiority with millions in cash on hand, and consistent endorsements from state party organizations ahead of the June 2 top-two primary and November 3 general election. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on historical margins exceeding 30 points. A Republican victory would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal by Sherman, or dramatic national political shift within the resolution window to overcome these structural barriers.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Khối lượng
$14,412Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 Partisan Voter Index and voter registration advantage exceeding two-to-one, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic winner at 92.5 percent. Longtime incumbent Brad Sherman benefits from established name recognition, substantial fundraising superiority with millions in cash on hand, and consistent endorsements from state party organizations ahead of the June 2 top-two primary and November 3 general election. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on historical margins exceeding 30 points. A Republican victory would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal by Sherman, or dramatic national political shift within the resolution window to overcome these structural barriers.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-32 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$14,412Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 Partisan Voter Index and voter registration advantage exceeding two-to-one, underpins trader consensus favoring a Democratic winner at 92.5 percent. Longtime incumbent Brad Sherman benefits from established name recognition, substantial fundraising superiority with millions in cash on hand, and consistent endorsements from state party organizations ahead of the June 2 top-two primary and November 3 general election. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic based on historical margins exceeding 30 points. A Republican victory would require an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal by Sherman, or dramatic national political shift within the resolution window to overcome these structural barriers.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp