Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren advanced from the June 2, 2026 primary to face Republican Shane Lewis in the November general election for California's 18th congressional district. The seat's D+17 partisan voter index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including Lofgren's 64.6% share in 2024, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Primary results and nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic further reinforce this positioning. Factors that could narrow the gap include a late national political shift favoring Republicans, a major candidate-specific development such as a health issue or scandal, or unusually high turnout among Republican-leaning voters in the district.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-18 House Election Winner
CA-18 House Election Winner
$35,385 KL.
$35,385 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
4%
$35,385 KL.
$35,385 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$16,699 KL.
93%
Republican Party
$18,686 KL.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren advanced from the June 2, 2026 primary to face Republican Shane Lewis in the November general election for California's 18th congressional district. The seat's D+17 partisan voter index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including Lofgren's 64.6% share in 2024, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Primary results and nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic further reinforce this positioning. Factors that could narrow the gap include a late national political shift favoring Republicans, a major candidate-specific development such as a health issue or scandal, or unusually high turnout among Republican-leaning voters in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Khối lượng
$35,385Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren advanced from the June 2, 2026 primary to face Republican Shane Lewis in the November general election for California's 18th congressional district. The seat's D+17 partisan voter index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including Lofgren's 64.6% share in 2024, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Primary results and nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic further reinforce this positioning. Factors that could narrow the gap include a late national political shift favoring Republicans, a major candidate-specific development such as a health issue or scandal, or unusually high turnout among Republican-leaning voters in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$35,385Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren advanced from the June 2, 2026 primary to face Republican Shane Lewis in the November general election for California's 18th congressional district. The seat's D+17 partisan voter index and consistent Democratic performance in recent cycles, including Lofgren's 64.6% share in 2024, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Primary results and nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic further reinforce this positioning. Factors that could narrow the gap include a late national political shift favoring Republicans, a major candidate-specific development such as a health issue or scandal, or unusually high turnout among Republican-leaning voters in the district.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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