Incumbent Democratic Representative Mark DeSaulnier maintains a strong position in California's 10th congressional district ahead of the June 2, 2026, top-two primary and November general election. The East Bay seat features a pronounced Democratic lean reinforced by recent redistricting under Proposition 50, which adjusted boundaries to favor the party, along with the incumbent's established fundraising advantage and prior general election margins exceeding 30 points. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in the primary, while Republican contenders remain limited. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors and historical voting patterns in the district. Potential shifts could arise from unexpected primary outcomes, major national political developments, or significant changes in voter turnout within the resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-10 House Election Winner
CA-10 House Election Winner
$16,372 KL.
$16,372 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$16,372 KL.
$16,372 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$10,748 KL.
93%
Republican Party
$5,624 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Mark DeSaulnier maintains a strong position in California's 10th congressional district ahead of the June 2, 2026, top-two primary and November general election. The East Bay seat features a pronounced Democratic lean reinforced by recent redistricting under Proposition 50, which adjusted boundaries to favor the party, along with the incumbent's established fundraising advantage and prior general election margins exceeding 30 points. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in the primary, while Republican contenders remain limited. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors and historical voting patterns in the district. Potential shifts could arise from unexpected primary outcomes, major national political developments, or significant changes in voter turnout within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$16,372Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Mark DeSaulnier maintains a strong position in California's 10th congressional district ahead of the June 2, 2026, top-two primary and November general election. The East Bay seat features a pronounced Democratic lean reinforced by recent redistricting under Proposition 50, which adjusted boundaries to favor the party, along with the incumbent's established fundraising advantage and prior general election margins exceeding 30 points. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in the primary, while Republican contenders remain limited. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors and historical voting patterns in the district. Potential shifts could arise from unexpected primary outcomes, major national political developments, or significant changes in voter turnout within the resolution window.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$16,372Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Mark DeSaulnier maintains a strong position in California's 10th congressional district ahead of the June 2, 2026, top-two primary and November general election. The East Bay seat features a pronounced Democratic lean reinforced by recent redistricting under Proposition 50, which adjusted boundaries to favor the party, along with the incumbent's established fundraising advantage and prior general election margins exceeding 30 points. Multiple Democratic candidates are competing in the primary, while Republican contenders remain limited. Trader consensus reflects these structural factors and historical voting patterns in the district. Potential shifts could arise from unexpected primary outcomes, major national political developments, or significant changes in voter turnout within the resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp