California’s 3rd congressional district has shifted to a solidly Democratic seat following voter approval of Proposition 50 redistricting maps in November 2025, which added northern Sacramento County territory and produced a partisan lean favoring Democrats by double digits in recent presidential results. Democratic Representative Ami Bera, who previously represented the neighboring 6th district, quickly relocated his campaign to the new boundaries and leads a crowded primary field that also includes Chris Bennett and Heidi Hall. Republican challengers such as Christine Bish face an uphill path in a district where Democratic voter registration now exceeds 39 percent. With the June 2 primary less than two weeks away and the general election still months ahead, traders have priced in a strong Democratic advantage, viewing the structural realignment and Bera’s established fundraising and name recognition as decisive factors in the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-03 House Election Winner
CA-03 House Election Winner
$26,169 KL.
$26,169 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
89%
Republican Party
4%
$26,169 KL.
$26,169 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,113 KL.
89%
Republican Party
$12,056 KL.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 3rd congressional district has shifted to a solidly Democratic seat following voter approval of Proposition 50 redistricting maps in November 2025, which added northern Sacramento County territory and produced a partisan lean favoring Democrats by double digits in recent presidential results. Democratic Representative Ami Bera, who previously represented the neighboring 6th district, quickly relocated his campaign to the new boundaries and leads a crowded primary field that also includes Chris Bennett and Heidi Hall. Republican challengers such as Christine Bish face an uphill path in a district where Democratic voter registration now exceeds 39 percent. With the June 2 primary less than two weeks away and the general election still months ahead, traders have priced in a strong Democratic advantage, viewing the structural realignment and Bera’s established fundraising and name recognition as decisive factors in the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Khối lượng
$26,169Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California’s 3rd congressional district has shifted to a solidly Democratic seat following voter approval of Proposition 50 redistricting maps in November 2025, which added northern Sacramento County territory and produced a partisan lean favoring Democrats by double digits in recent presidential results. Democratic Representative Ami Bera, who previously represented the neighboring 6th district, quickly relocated his campaign to the new boundaries and leads a crowded primary field that also includes Chris Bennett and Heidi Hall. Republican challengers such as Christine Bish face an uphill path in a district where Democratic voter registration now exceeds 39 percent. With the June 2 primary less than two weeks away and the general election still months ahead, traders have priced in a strong Democratic advantage, viewing the structural realignment and Bera’s established fundraising and name recognition as decisive factors in the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$26,169Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California’s 3rd congressional district has shifted to a solidly Democratic seat following voter approval of Proposition 50 redistricting maps in November 2025, which added northern Sacramento County territory and produced a partisan lean favoring Democrats by double digits in recent presidential results. Democratic Representative Ami Bera, who previously represented the neighboring 6th district, quickly relocated his campaign to the new boundaries and leads a crowded primary field that also includes Chris Bennett and Heidi Hall. Republican challengers such as Christine Bish face an uphill path in a district where Democratic voter registration now exceeds 39 percent. With the June 2 primary less than two weeks away and the general election still months ahead, traders have priced in a strong Democratic advantage, viewing the structural realignment and Bera’s established fundraising and name recognition as decisive factors in the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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