Malcolm Todd’s “Earrings” holds a commanding 71.5% implied probability for the #2 US Spotify song of 2026 because the track has maintained elite streaming velocity across the year, consistently ranking inside the top five on daily and weekly US charts with peaks at number two. Its sleeper-hit trajectory from the 2024 mixtape *Sweet Boy* produced cumulative US streams exceeding 246 million, outpacing most competitors through sustained playlist rotation and audience retention rather than a single-week spike. Recent October 2026 data shows the song still delivering roughly 900,000 daily US streams while newer releases from Taylor Swift, Ella Langley, and Olivia Rodrigo cycle through higher positions but lack equivalent year-long accumulation. Traders appear to price in the low likelihood of any late-year release overtaking its total volume before December 31.