Skip to main content

US Election predictions & odds

·
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

27%

Gavin Newsom

$1B Vol.

$9M today

$59M Liq.

689

Ends in over 2 years

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

40%

J.D. Vance

$575M Vol.

$3M today

$35M Liq.

361

Ends in over 2 years

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

19%

JD Vance

$547M Vol.

$3M today

$30M Liq.

871

Ends in over 2 years

California Governor Election Winner

California Governor Election Winner

43%

Xavier Becerra

$12M Vol.

$331K today

$2M Liq.

36

Ends in 7 months

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

60%

Ken Paxton

$16M Vol.

$275K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

54%

Democratic Party

$2M Vol.

$388K Liq.

35

Ends in 7 months

Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

Virginia Redistricting Referendum: Margin of Victory

37%

Pass 3-6%

$42.5K Vol.

$102K Liq.

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

52%

Democrats Sweep

$5M Vol.

$637K Liq.

151

Ends in 7 months

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Which party will win the House in 2026?

85%

Democratic Party

$5M Vol.

$580K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Alaska Governor Election Winner

Alaska Governor Election Winner

27%

Bernadette Wilson

$917K Vol.

$292K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Winner

48%

Mallory McMorrow

$442K Vol.

$160K Liq.

2

Ends in 3 months

Texas Senate Election Matchup

Texas Senate Election Matchup

60%

Talarico & Paxton

$676K Vol.

$136K Liq.

3

PA-10 Democratic Primary Winner

PA-10 Democratic Primary Winner

96%

Janelle Stelson

$19.3K Vol.

$44.6K Liq.

Ends in 27 days

Mississippi Senate Election Winner

Mississippi Senate Election Winner

84%

Republican

$19.3K Vol.

$29.0K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Maine Democratic Senate Primary Winner

92%

Graham Platner

$3M Vol.

$359K Liq.

Ends in about 2 months

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

25%

≤47

$2M Vol.

$280K Liq.

6

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

84%

Shutdown & Democratic Party

$318K Vol.

$40.0K Liq.

11

Ends in 7 months

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

54%

Nithya Raman

$924K Vol.

$201K Liq.

2

Ends in about 1 month

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

61%

Democratic

$2M Vol.

$862K Liq.

67

Ends in over 2 years

Michigan Governor Election Winner

Michigan Governor Election Winner

66%

Democrat

$177K Vol.

$71.9K Liq.

2

Ends in 7 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like US Election.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for US Election that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $2.3B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 27% chance to Gavin Newsom. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on US Election predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.