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Department Of Homeland Security predictions & odds

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When will the DHS shutdown end?
Department Of Homeland Security·DHS

When will the DHS shutdown end?

77%

After April 30

$1M Vol.

$74.6K today

$31.4K Liq.

When will the DHS shutdown end?
Department Of Homeland Security·DHS

When will the DHS shutdown end?

24%

April 27-May 3

$27.5K Vol.

$122K Liq.

Ends in 3 months

How long will the DHS shutdown last?

How long will the DHS shutdown last?

82%

80+ days

$1M Vol.

$23.7K Liq.

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

10%

$17.6K Vol.

$9.1K Liq.

9

Ends in 8 months

Major US official out by May 31?

Major US official out by May 31?

57%

$1.6K Vol.

$13.8K Liq.

1

Ends in about 1 month

Major US official out by April 30?

Major US official out by April 30?

1%

$15.3K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

9

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by...?

92%

December 31, 2026

$7.3K Vol.

$90 Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?

Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30?

15%

$96.8K Vol.

$53.8K Liq.

5

Ends in 2 months

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?

9%

$69.3K Vol.

$6.5K Liq.

3

Ends in 8 months

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?

U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?

32%

June 30

$2M Vol.

$14.7K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?

81%

December 31

$394K Vol.

$22.6K Liq.

47

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

2%

May 4

$103K Vol.

$52.8K Liq.

10

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Who will be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet?

35%

Tulsi Gabbard

$9.9K Vol.

$9.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?

40%

$9.4K Vol.

$1.5K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?

57%

$2.4K Vol.

$15.8K Liq.

Ends in about 1 month

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by...?

Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by...?

57%

June 30

$121K Vol.

$50.3K Liq.

6

Ends in 2 months

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

24%

0

$2.4K Vol.

$17.9K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Anyone charged over SPLC extremism funding?

Anyone charged over SPLC extremism funding?

61%

$39 Vol.

$24 Liq.

1

Ends in 2 months

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

Will the US capture another world leader in 2026?

11%

$48.2K Vol.

$18.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 8 months

Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

Will Trump end Department of Education before 2027?

11%

$10.6K Vol.

$15.0K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

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Polymarket currently hosts 105 active markets for Department Of Homeland Security that lets you track or trade on predictions like “When will the DHS shutdown end?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $5.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 32% chance to June 30. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Department Of Homeland Security predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.