Trump has exercised broad clemency authority in his second term, issuing more than 1,700 pardons and commutations by mid-2026, including a large January 6 group on inauguration day and subsequent batches in January, February, June, and July. Recent actions on July 3 targeted Clean Air Act violators and other federal cases, continuing a pattern of grants outside traditional Department of Justice review processes. Trader consensus on near-term markets reflects this established cadence, with resolution hinging on any new executive action before the specified cutoff. Scheduled White House announcements or congressional sessions could surface additional clemency decisions, though timing remains at the president's discretion under Article II authority.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$10,559 Обс.

August 31
18%
$10,559 Обс.

August 31
18%
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 31, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump has exercised broad clemency authority in his second term, issuing more than 1,700 pardons and commutations by mid-2026, including a large January 6 group on inauguration day and subsequent batches in January, February, June, and July. Recent actions on July 3 targeted Clean Air Act violators and other federal cases, continuing a pattern of grants outside traditional Department of Justice review processes. Trader consensus on near-term markets reflects this established cadence, with resolution hinging on any new executive action before the specified cutoff. Scheduled White House announcements or congressional sessions could surface additional clemency decisions, though timing remains at the president's discretion under Article II authority.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


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