Skip to main content
icon for Will Trump pardon anyone by...?

Will Trump pardon anyone by...?

icon for Will Trump pardon anyone by...?

Will Trump pardon anyone by...?

$10,559 Обс.

Aug 31, 2026
Polymarket

$10,559 Обс.

Polymarket
icon for August 31

August 31

$2,480 Обс.

18%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has exercised broad clemency authority in his second term, issuing more than 1,700 pardons and commutations by mid-2026, including a large January 6 group on inauguration day and subsequent batches in January, February, June, and July. Recent actions on July 3 targeted Clean Air Act violators and other federal cases, continuing a pattern of grants outside traditional Department of Justice review processes. Trader consensus on near-term markets reflects this established cadence, with resolution hinging on any new executive action before the specified cutoff. Scheduled White House announcements or congressional sessions could surface additional clemency decisions, though timing remains at the president's discretion under Article II authority.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$10,559
Дата завершення
Jul 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 31, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has exercised broad clemency authority in his second term, issuing more than 1,700 pardons and commutations by mid-2026, including a large January 6 group on inauguration day and subsequent batches in January, February, June, and July. Recent actions on July 3 targeted Clean Air Act violators and other federal cases, continuing a pattern of grants outside traditional Department of Justice review processes. Trader consensus on near-term markets reflects this established cadence, with resolution hinging on any new executive action before the specified cutoff. Scheduled White House announcements or congressional sessions could surface additional clemency decisions, though timing remains at the president's discretion under Article II authority.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$10,559
Дата завершення
Jul 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 31, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Will Trump pardon anyone by...?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 2 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «August 31» з 18%, далі «Will Trump pardon anyone by July 31?» з 0%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Will Trump pardon anyone by...?» згенерував $10.6K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jul 6, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Will Trump pardon anyone by...?», перегляньте 2 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Will Trump pardon anyone by...?» — «August 31» з 18%. Наступний — «Will Trump pardon anyone by July 31?» з 0%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Will Trump pardon anyone by...?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.