Justice Samuel Alito’s August 2026 statement to the Wall Street Journal that he is “here for another term” directly dampened near-term retirement speculation on prediction markets. This followed an erroneous late-June NPR report claiming he had retired, which briefly fueled trader interest before its retraction. Earlier 2026 rumors tied potential departure to President Trump’s window for confirming a younger conservative successor while Republicans hold the Senate, ahead of the midterm elections. At age 76, Alito remains the Court’s second-oldest justice; traders weigh his health, institutional norms around life tenure, and the political incentive to time any announcement before shifts in Senate control. No formal retirement has been announced, leaving resolution dependent on future statements or end-of-term timing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWill Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
$3,403,883 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
September 30
3%
December 31
6%
June 30, 2027
31%
$3,403,883 Обс.
September 30
$982,024 Обс.
3%
December 31
$772,969 Обс.
6%
June 30, 2027
$47,226 Обс.
31%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.Justice Samuel Alito’s August 2026 statement to the Wall Street Journal that he is “here for another term” directly dampened near-term retirement speculation on prediction markets. This followed an erroneous late-June NPR report claiming he had retired, which briefly fueled trader interest before its retraction. Earlier 2026 rumors tied potential departure to President Trump’s window for confirming a younger conservative successor while Republicans hold the Senate, ahead of the midterm elections. At age 76, Alito remains the Court’s second-oldest justice; traders weigh his health, institutional norms around life tenure, and the political incentive to time any announcement before shifts in Senate control. No formal retirement has been announced, leaving resolution dependent on future statements or end-of-term timing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 30, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,403,883Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 30, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.Justice Samuel Alito’s August 2026 statement to the Wall Street Journal that he is “here for another term” directly dampened near-term retirement speculation on prediction markets. This followed an erroneous late-June NPR report claiming he had retired, which briefly fueled trader interest before its retraction. Earlier 2026 rumors tied potential departure to President Trump’s window for confirming a younger conservative successor while Republicans hold the Senate, ahead of the midterm elections. At age 76, Alito remains the Court’s second-oldest justice; traders weigh his health, institutional norms around life tenure, and the political incentive to time any announcement before shifts in Senate control. No formal retirement has been announced, leaving resolution dependent on future statements or end-of-term timing.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Samuel Alito announces that he will retire from his position as Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future.
Any qualifying announcement from Alito will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Alito or one of his official representatives.
Обсяг
$3,403,883Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 30, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Justice Samuel Alito’s August 2026 statement to the Wall Street Journal that he is “here for another term” directly dampened near-term retirement speculation on prediction markets. This followed an erroneous late-June NPR report claiming he had retired, which briefly fueled trader interest before its retraction. Earlier 2026 rumors tied potential departure to President Trump’s window for confirming a younger conservative successor while Republicans hold the Senate, ahead of the midterm elections. At age 76, Alito remains the Court’s second-oldest justice; traders weigh his health, institutional norms around life tenure, and the political incentive to time any announcement before shifts in Senate control. No formal retirement has been announced, leaving resolution dependent on future statements or end-of-term timing.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання