Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's supreme leader in March 2026 after his father Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes that also injured Mojtaba. He has since issued only written statements, with no verified public appearances, and was absent from his father's July funeral ceremonies amid reports of ongoing health issues. July 2026 reporting, including a Saudi outlet citing Israeli sources, claimed he is not currently in Iran and may be in Russia, an Iranian ally, due to security concerns or recovery needs. These developments, occurring against the backdrop of the 2026 Iran war and regime consolidation under IRGC influence, have intensified trader focus on whether he will remain in the country or relocate, with any confirmed diplomatic travel, health updates, or escalation in regional tensions likely to shift sentiment.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$101,920 Обс.
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
1%
$101,920 Обс.
August 31
$60,018 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei was outside Iran at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's supreme leader in March 2026 after his father Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes that also injured Mojtaba. He has since issued only written statements, with no verified public appearances, and was absent from his father's July funeral ceremonies amid reports of ongoing health issues. July 2026 reporting, including a Saudi outlet citing Israeli sources, claimed he is not currently in Iran and may be in Russia, an Iranian ally, due to security concerns or recovery needs. These developments, occurring against the backdrop of the 2026 Iran war and regime consolidation under IRGC influence, have intensified trader focus on whether he will remain in the country or relocate, with any confirmed diplomatic travel, health updates, or escalation in regional tensions likely to shift sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei was outside Iran at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 19, 2026, 10:24 PM ET
Обсяг
$101,920Дата завершення
Jul 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 19, 2026, 10:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei was outside Iran at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's supreme leader in March 2026 after his father Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes that also injured Mojtaba. He has since issued only written statements, with no verified public appearances, and was absent from his father's July funeral ceremonies amid reports of ongoing health issues. July 2026 reporting, including a Saudi outlet citing Israeli sources, claimed he is not currently in Iran and may be in Russia, an Iranian ally, due to security concerns or recovery needs. These developments, occurring against the backdrop of the 2026 Iran war and regime consolidation under IRGC influence, have intensified trader focus on whether he will remain in the country or relocate, with any confirmed diplomatic travel, health updates, or escalation in regional tensions likely to shift sentiment.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei was outside Iran at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$101,920Дата завершення
Jul 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 19, 2026, 10:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed Iran's supreme leader in March 2026 after his father Ali Khamenei was killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes that also injured Mojtaba. He has since issued only written statements, with no verified public appearances, and was absent from his father's July funeral ceremonies amid reports of ongoing health issues. July 2026 reporting, including a Saudi outlet citing Israeli sources, claimed he is not currently in Iran and may be in Russia, an Iranian ally, due to security concerns or recovery needs. These developments, occurring against the backdrop of the 2026 Iran war and regime consolidation under IRGC influence, have intensified trader focus on whether he will remain in the country or relocate, with any confirmed diplomatic travel, health updates, or escalation in regional tensions likely to shift sentiment.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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