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Will Iran strike gulf oil facilities by March 31?

icon for Will Iran strike gulf oil facilities by March 31?

Will Iran strike gulf oil facilities by March 31?

Ended: Mar 31

Ended: Mar 31

>99% шанс
Polymarket

$212,451 Обс.

>99% шанс
Polymarket

$212,451 Обс.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out a kinetic military strike against an oil or gas facility, inclusive of all oil rigs, refineries, or other oil/gas infrastructure located on the soil or within the maritime territory of Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, or the United Arab Emirates (UAE), between February 28 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes and aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory based on a consensus of credible reporting, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e., Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not qualify. Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out a kinetic military strike against an oil or gas facility, inclusive of all oil rigs, refineries, or other oil/gas infrastructure located on the soil or within the maritime territory of Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, or the United Arab Emirates (UAE), between February 28 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation.

This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes and aerial bombings.

Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.

Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.

Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory based on a consensus of credible reporting, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e., Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not qualify.

Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out a kinetic military strike against an oil or gas facility, inclusive of all oil rigs, refineries, or other oil/gas infrastructure located on the soil or within the maritime territory of Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, or the United Arab Emirates (UAE), between February 28 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes and aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory based on a consensus of credible reporting, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e., Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not qualify. Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
Обсяг
$212,451
Дата завершення
Mar 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 28, 2026, 2:44 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

Результат запропоновано: Yes

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out a kinetic military strike against an oil or gas facility, inclusive of all oil rigs, refineries, or other oil/gas infrastructure located on the soil or within the maritime territory of Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, or the United Arab Emirates (UAE), between February 28 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes and aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory based on a consensus of credible reporting, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e., Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not qualify. Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out a kinetic military strike against an oil or gas facility, inclusive of all oil rigs, refineries, or other oil/gas infrastructure located on the soil or within the maritime territory of Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, or the United Arab Emirates (UAE), between February 28 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation.

This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes and aerial bombings.

Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market.

Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution.

Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory based on a consensus of credible reporting, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e., Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not qualify.

Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran carries out a kinetic military strike against an oil or gas facility, inclusive of all oil rigs, refineries, or other oil/gas infrastructure located on the soil or within the maritime territory of Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, or the United Arab Emirates (UAE), between February 28 and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying strikes occurring on or after February 28 ET will count even if they occurred before market creation. This includes, but is not limited to, drone and missile strikes and aerial bombings. Cyber attacks, sanctions, or diplomatic actions will not count towards the resolution of this market. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution. Only actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran, or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory based on a consensus of credible reporting, will count toward the resolution of this market. Attacks by proxy forces (i.e., Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not qualify. Note: Cyber attacks will not qualify, even if they have kinetic effects.
Обсяг
$212,451
Дата завершення
Mar 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 28, 2026, 2:44 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

Результат запропоновано: Yes

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: Yes

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Will Iran strike gulf oil facilities by March 31?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 100% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 100¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 100%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Will Iran strike gulf oil facilities by March 31?» згенерував $212.5K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Feb 28, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Will Iran strike gulf oil facilities by March 31?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Will Iran strike gulf oil facilities by March 31?» — 100% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 100% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Will Iran strike gulf oil facilities by March 31?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.