The June 2026 Memorandum of Understanding between the United States and Iran, which established a 60-day window for negotiations on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and security issues including the Strait of Hormuz and Lebanon, expired without a final accord amid mutual violations and renewed strikes. High-level talks in Switzerland that month featured U.S. Vice President JD Vance and Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, with mediation from Qatar and Pakistan; technical sessions followed but produced no lasting framework. As of early September 2026, direct diplomacy remains paused amid ongoing tensions over nuclear inspections and maritime access, though both capitals have left room for renewed engagement through intermediaries. Any new round by year-end would likely involve similar senior officials or envoys, contingent on de-escalation signals and mediator facilitation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$403,290 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
Steve Witkoff
33%
Abbas Araghchi
29%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
27%
Jared Kushner
27%
J.D. Vance
25%
Kazem Gharibabadi
24%
Ishaq Dar
18%
Nick Stewart
18%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
18%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
17%
Rafael Grossi
13%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
12%
Mohammed bin Salman
12%
Masoud Pezeshkian
10%
Marco Rubio
7%
Esmail Qaani
6%
Donald Trump
6%
Pete Hegseth
5%
Ahmad Vahidi
4%
Mojtaba Khamenei
4%
$403,290 Обс.
Steve Witkoff
$28,155 Обс.
33%
Abbas Araghchi
$10,979 Обс.
29%
Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf
$17,139 Обс.
27%
Jared Kushner
$22,492 Обс.
27%
J.D. Vance
$27,350 Обс.
25%
Kazem Gharibabadi
$16,625 Обс.
24%
Ishaq Dar
$23,410 Обс.
18%
Nick Stewart
$12,950 Обс.
18%
Majid Takht-Ravanchi
$17,270 Обс.
18%
Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi
$31,077 Обс.
17%
Rafael Grossi
$34,839 Обс.
13%
Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani
$40,153 Обс.
12%
Mohammed bin Salman
$5,526 Обс.
12%
Masoud Pezeshkian
$24,252 Обс.
10%
Marco Rubio
$13,732 Обс.
7%
Esmail Qaani
$11,490 Обс.
6%
Donald Trump
$9,179 Обс.
6%
Pete Hegseth
$20,123 Обс.
5%
Ahmad Vahidi
$14,361 Обс.
4%
Mojtaba Khamenei
$22,187 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The June 2026 Memorandum of Understanding between the United States and Iran, which established a 60-day window for negotiations on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and security issues including the Strait of Hormuz and Lebanon, expired without a final accord amid mutual violations and renewed strikes. High-level talks in Switzerland that month featured U.S. Vice President JD Vance and Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, with mediation from Qatar and Pakistan; technical sessions followed but produced no lasting framework. As of early September 2026, direct diplomacy remains paused amid ongoing tensions over nuclear inspections and maritime access, though both capitals have left room for renewed engagement through intermediaries. Any new round by year-end would likely involve similar senior officials or envoys, contingent on de-escalation signals and mediator facilitation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ET
Обсяг
$403,290Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.The June 2026 Memorandum of Understanding between the United States and Iran, which established a 60-day window for negotiations on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and security issues including the Strait of Hormuz and Lebanon, expired without a final accord amid mutual violations and renewed strikes. High-level talks in Switzerland that month featured U.S. Vice President JD Vance and Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, with mediation from Qatar and Pakistan; technical sessions followed but produced no lasting framework. As of early September 2026, direct diplomacy remains paused amid ongoing tensions over nuclear inspections and maritime access, though both capitals have left room for renewed engagement through intermediaries. Any new round by year-end would likely involve similar senior officials or envoys, contingent on de-escalation signals and mediator facilitation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends any formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying round must be a deliberate in-person diplomatic meeting or negotiating round concerning US-Iran relations, involving senior representatives of both the United States and Iran who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to conduct or materially direct diplomacy on behalf of their governments.
Indirect in-person diplomacy through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors will qualify, provided senior representatives of both the United States and Iran are participating in the same formal diplomatic process with the knowledge and authorization of their respective governments. The representatives need not be in the same room at the same time.
Follow-on technical talks from the June 22 Switzerland round will not qualify by themselves. Technical, staff-level, working-group, implementation, monitoring, preparatory, or deconfliction meetings will not qualify unless they occur as part of a new formally convened senior-level U.S.-Iran peace-talks round.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, photo opportunities, ceremonial appearances, or talks not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating.
If a formal senior-level round of peace talks between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$403,290Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 7:15 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...The June 2026 Memorandum of Understanding between the United States and Iran, which established a 60-day window for negotiations on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and security issues including the Strait of Hormuz and Lebanon, expired without a final accord amid mutual violations and renewed strikes. High-level talks in Switzerland that month featured U.S. Vice President JD Vance and Iranian parliamentary speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, with mediation from Qatar and Pakistan; technical sessions followed but produced no lasting framework. As of early September 2026, direct diplomacy remains paused amid ongoing tensions over nuclear inspections and maritime access, though both capitals have left room for renewed engagement through intermediaries. Any new round by year-end would likely involve similar senior officials or envoys, contingent on de-escalation signals and mediator facilitation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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