Avengers: Doomsday leads trader consensus at 73.5% implied probability as the frontrunner for 2026's biggest opening weekend, driven by its positioning as a major MCU crossover event with Robert Downey Jr. returning as Doctor Doom and a December 18 holiday release that historically amplifies box office for Avengers titles. Early industry tracking highlights strong exhibitor excitement and potential for record-setting performance, consistent with past franchise entries like Endgame. Spider-Man: Brand New Day follows at 28% on the strength of its July 31 date and proven audience draw, while Toy Story 5 at 24.6% benefits from positive pre-release forecasts in the $150–175 million domestic range ahead of its June 19 debut. Lower-probability contenders like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie face stiffer competition in a crowded animated field.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhich movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 74%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 22%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 6.7%
The Odyssey 5.5%
$20,703 Обс.
$20,703 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
74%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
27%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
7%
The Odyssey
6%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
2%
Dune: Messiah
1%
Toy Story 5
28%
Avengers: Doomsday 74%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 22%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 6.7%
The Odyssey 5.5%
$20,703 Обс.
$20,703 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
Avengers: Doomsday
$1,213 Обс.
74%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$1,135 Обс.
27%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
$1,299 Обс.
7%
The Odyssey
$1,155 Обс.
6%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$1,089 Обс.
2%
Dune: Messiah
$986 Обс.
1%
Toy Story 5
$789 Обс.
28%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday leads trader consensus at 73.5% implied probability as the frontrunner for 2026's biggest opening weekend, driven by its positioning as a major MCU crossover event with Robert Downey Jr. returning as Doctor Doom and a December 18 holiday release that historically amplifies box office for Avengers titles. Early industry tracking highlights strong exhibitor excitement and potential for record-setting performance, consistent with past franchise entries like Endgame. Spider-Man: Brand New Day follows at 28% on the strength of its July 31 date and proven audience draw, while Toy Story 5 at 24.6% benefits from positive pre-release forecasts in the $150–175 million domestic range ahead of its June 19 debut. Lower-probability contenders like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie face stiffer competition in a crowded animated field.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Обсяг
$20,703Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday leads trader consensus at 73.5% implied probability as the frontrunner for 2026's biggest opening weekend, driven by its positioning as a major MCU crossover event with Robert Downey Jr. returning as Doctor Doom and a December 18 holiday release that historically amplifies box office for Avengers titles. Early industry tracking highlights strong exhibitor excitement and potential for record-setting performance, consistent with past franchise entries like Endgame. Spider-Man: Brand New Day follows at 28% on the strength of its July 31 date and proven audience draw, while Toy Story 5 at 24.6% benefits from positive pre-release forecasts in the $150–175 million domestic range ahead of its June 19 debut. Lower-probability contenders like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie face stiffer competition in a crowded animated field.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Обсяг
$20,703Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Avengers: Doomsday leads trader consensus at 73.5% implied probability as the frontrunner for 2026's biggest opening weekend, driven by its positioning as a major MCU crossover event with Robert Downey Jr. returning as Doctor Doom and a December 18 holiday release that historically amplifies box office for Avengers titles. Early industry tracking highlights strong exhibitor excitement and potential for record-setting performance, consistent with past franchise entries like Endgame. Spider-Man: Brand New Day follows at 28% on the strength of its July 31 date and proven audience draw, while Toy Story 5 at 24.6% benefits from positive pre-release forecasts in the $150–175 million domestic range ahead of its June 19 debut. Lower-probability contenders like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie face stiffer competition in a crowded animated field.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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