Google's Veo 3.1 leads text-to-video AI markets with 88% implied probability due to its consistent top rankings on benchmarks for prompt adherence, photorealism, native synchronized audio generation, and 4K output. Recent Gemini integrations, expanded free tiers, and Flow tool updates have reinforced trader confidence ahead of the end-September resolution. Rivals such as Runway Gen-4.5, Kling 3.0, ByteDance Seedance, and Luma Dream Machine excel in specific areas like motion control or value but trail overall in head-to-head evaluations. No major competitor releases or capability jumps have emerged in the past week to shift the market-implied odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhich company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?
Which company has the best Text-to-Video AI end of September?
Google 88%
Runway 3.5%
Luma AI 3.3%
ByteDance 1.5%
$21,486 Обс.
$21,486 Обс.
Sep 30, 2026
88%
Runway
4%
Luma AI
3%
ByteDance
2%
MiniMax
1%
Pruna
1%
Tencent
1%
Pixverse
1%
Genmo AI
1%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
<1%
OpenAI
<1%
KlingAI
<1%
Lightricks
<1%
Pika
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Kandinsky
<1%
Meta
<1%
Google 88%
Runway 3.5%
Luma AI 3.3%
ByteDance 1.5%
$21,486 Обс.
$21,486 Обс.
Sep 30, 2026
$14,227 Обс.
88%
Runway
$547 Обс.
4%
Luma AI
$400 Обс.
3%
ByteDance
$982 Обс.
2%
MiniMax
$645 Обс.
1%
Pruna
$399 Обс.
1%
Tencent
$350 Обс.
1%
Pixverse
$370 Обс.
1%
Genmo AI
$436 Обс.
1%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
$365 Обс.
<1%
OpenAI
$387 Обс.
<1%
KlingAI
$423 Обс.
<1%
Lightricks
$431 Обс.
<1%
Pika
$453 Обс.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$458 Обс.
<1%
Kandinsky
$370 Обс.
<1%
Meta
$246 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Veo 3.1 leads text-to-video AI markets with 88% implied probability due to its consistent top rankings on benchmarks for prompt adherence, photorealism, native synchronized audio generation, and 4K output. Recent Gemini integrations, expanded free tiers, and Flow tool updates have reinforced trader confidence ahead of the end-September resolution. Rivals such as Runway Gen-4.5, Kling 3.0, ByteDance Seedance, and Luma Dream Machine excel in specific areas like motion control or value but trail overall in head-to-head evaluations. No major competitor releases or capability jumps have emerged in the past week to shift the market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
Обсяг
$21,486Дата завершення
Oct 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Veo 3.1 leads text-to-video AI markets with 88% implied probability due to its consistent top rankings on benchmarks for prompt adherence, photorealism, native synchronized audio generation, and 4K output. Recent Gemini integrations, expanded free tiers, and Flow tool updates have reinforced trader confidence ahead of the end-September resolution. Rivals such as Runway Gen-4.5, Kling 3.0, ByteDance Seedance, and Luma Dream Machine excel in specific areas like motion control or value but trail overall in head-to-head evaluations. No major competitor releases or capability jumps have emerged in the past week to shift the market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Обсяг
$21,486Дата завершення
Oct 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Google's Veo 3.1 leads text-to-video AI markets with 88% implied probability due to its consistent top rankings on benchmarks for prompt adherence, photorealism, native synchronized audio generation, and 4K output. Recent Gemini integrations, expanded free tiers, and Flow tool updates have reinforced trader confidence ahead of the end-September resolution. Rivals such as Runway Gen-4.5, Kling 3.0, ByteDance Seedance, and Luma Dream Machine excel in specific areas like motion control or value but trail overall in head-to-head evaluations. No major competitor releases or capability jumps have emerged in the past week to shift the market-implied odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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