Anthropic's Claude models, including recent variants like Mythos 5 and Fable 5, drive the 96.4% market-implied odds through sustained leadership on Text Arena Math evaluations and related benchmarks such as MATH and GSM8K-style tasks. These large language models demonstrate advanced reasoning on competition-level problems, outperforming rivals in blind human preference tests and automated math leaderboards as of mid-August 2026. With resolution just days away, traders see little room for disruption from other labs. A surprise flagship release or major capability jump from OpenAI or Google could theoretically shift standings, though current gaps and short timelines make such scenarios improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhich company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of August?
Anthropic 96.5%
OpenAI 3.1%
Google 1.1%
Alibaba <1%
$92,521 Обс.
$92,521 Обс.

Anthropic
97%

OpenAI
3%

1%

Alibaba
<1%

SpaceXAI
<1%

Baidu
<1%

Z.ai
<1%

Xiaomi
<1%

Moonshot
<1%

Meta
<1%

Nvidia
<1%

DeepSeek
<1%

MiniMax
<1%

Meituan
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Bytedance
<1%

Mistral
<1%

Tencent
<1%

StepFun
<1%

Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 96.5%
OpenAI 3.1%
Google 1.1%
Alibaba <1%
$92,521 Обс.
$92,521 Обс.

Anthropic
97%

OpenAI
3%

1%

Alibaba
<1%

SpaceXAI
<1%

Baidu
<1%

Z.ai
<1%

Xiaomi
<1%

Moonshot
<1%

Meta
<1%

Nvidia
<1%

DeepSeek
<1%

MiniMax
<1%

Meituan
<1%

Amazon
<1%

Bytedance
<1%

Mistral
<1%

Tencent
<1%

StepFun
<1%

Microsoft
<1%
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Ринок відкрито: Jul 16, 2026, 11:05 PM ET
Джерело вирішення
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Джерело вирішення
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-controlResolver
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic's Claude models, including recent variants like Mythos 5 and Fable 5, drive the 96.4% market-implied odds through sustained leadership on Text Arena Math evaluations and related benchmarks such as MATH and GSM8K-style tasks. These large language models demonstrate advanced reasoning on competition-level problems, outperforming rivals in blind human preference tests and automated math leaderboards as of mid-August 2026. With resolution just days away, traders see little room for disruption from other labs. A surprise flagship release or major capability jump from OpenAI or Google could theoretically shift standings, though current gaps and short timelines make such scenarios improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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