Anthropic’s dominant position on recent LiveBench snapshots drives the 82.5% market-implied odds, with Claude Fable 5 and Opus 5 variants posting the highest overall scores across the benchmark’s seven contamination-free categories including reasoning, coding, and math. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol and o3-mini models trail in current public leaderboards despite strong agentic coding results, explaining the sharp gap to 11.5%. Traders weigh Anthropic’s consistent edge in multi-category averages against the risk of new OpenAI or Google releases before the October 31 snapshot, while lower-probability names like Alibaba or Moonshot remain sidelined by sizable score deficits. The narrow window to resolution amplifies focus on any verified capability jumps or configuration updates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhich company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) end of October?
Anthropic 83%
OpenAI 11%
SpaceXAI <1%
DeepSeek <1%
$20,633 Обс.
$20,633 Обс.
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
83%
OpenAI
11%
SpaceXAI
1%
DeepSeek
1%
ByteDance
1%
Alibaba
1%
Moonshot
1%
Nvidia
1%
MiniMax
1%
StepFun
1%
Z.ai
1%
Amazon
1%
Meta
1%
1%
Baidu
1%
Mistral
1%
Tencent
1%
Thinky
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 83%
OpenAI 11%
SpaceXAI <1%
DeepSeek <1%
$20,633 Обс.
$20,633 Обс.
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
$9,026 Обс.
83%
OpenAI
$2,945 Обс.
11%
SpaceXAI
$443 Обс.
1%
DeepSeek
$435 Обс.
1%
ByteDance
$492 Обс.
1%
Alibaba
$386 Обс.
1%
Moonshot
$465 Обс.
1%
Nvidia
$498 Обс.
1%
MiniMax
$471 Обс.
1%
StepFun
$445 Обс.
1%
Z.ai
$433 Обс.
1%
Amazon
$481 Обс.
1%
Meta
$481 Обс.
1%
$411 Обс.
1%
Baidu
$494 Обс.
1%
Mistral
$459 Обс.
1%
Tencent
$492 Обс.
1%
Thinky
$445 Обс.
<1%
Xiaomi
$445 Обс.
<1%
Meituan
$427 Обс.
<1%
Microsoft
$457 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic’s dominant position on recent LiveBench snapshots drives the 82.5% market-implied odds, with Claude Fable 5 and Opus 5 variants posting the highest overall scores across the benchmark’s seven contamination-free categories including reasoning, coding, and math. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol and o3-mini models trail in current public leaderboards despite strong agentic coding results, explaining the sharp gap to 11.5%. Traders weigh Anthropic’s consistent edge in multi-category averages against the risk of new OpenAI or Google releases before the October 31 snapshot, while lower-probability names like Alibaba or Moonshot remain sidelined by sizable score deficits. The narrow window to resolution amplifies focus on any verified capability jumps or configuration updates.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
Обсяг
$20,633Дата завершення
Nov 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic’s dominant position on recent LiveBench snapshots drives the 82.5% market-implied odds, with Claude Fable 5 and Opus 5 variants posting the highest overall scores across the benchmark’s seven contamination-free categories including reasoning, coding, and math. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol and o3-mini models trail in current public leaderboards despite strong agentic coding results, explaining the sharp gap to 11.5%. Traders weigh Anthropic’s consistent edge in multi-category averages against the risk of new OpenAI or Google releases before the October 31 snapshot, while lower-probability names like Alibaba or Moonshot remain sidelined by sizable score deficits. The narrow window to resolution amplifies focus on any verified capability jumps or configuration updates.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Overall score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Overall” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “All,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Обсяг
$20,633Дата завершення
Nov 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic’s dominant position on recent LiveBench snapshots drives the 82.5% market-implied odds, with Claude Fable 5 and Opus 5 variants posting the highest overall scores across the benchmark’s seven contamination-free categories including reasoning, coding, and math. OpenAI’s GPT-5.6 Sol and o3-mini models trail in current public leaderboards despite strong agentic coding results, explaining the sharp gap to 11.5%. Traders weigh Anthropic’s consistent edge in multi-category averages against the risk of new OpenAI or Google releases before the October 31 snapshot, while lower-probability names like Alibaba or Moonshot remain sidelined by sizable score deficits. The narrow window to resolution amplifies focus on any verified capability jumps or configuration updates.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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