Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 64% implied probability due to its Claude Opus 4.8 and Fable series models posting top scores on rigorous math evaluations like USAMO 2026 (97.6%) and strong results across AIME and HMMT benchmarks in September 2026. These outcomes reflect consistent frontier performance in multi-step mathematical reasoning and proof-based tasks central to LiveBench's mathematics category. OpenAI trails at 35.5% amid GPT-5 variants showing competitive but slightly lower math-specific results, while Chinese labs including Moonshot and Z.ai post high provisional scores on related tests yet face lower odds given LiveBench's dynamic, contamination-resistant design. Key catalysts ahead include any late-October model updates or benchmark refreshes that could shift the live leaderboard before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhich company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) end of October?
Anthropic 65%
OpenAI 36%
Google 2.1%
MiniMax <1%
$21,620 Обс.
$21,620 Обс.
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
65%
OpenAI
36%
2%
MiniMax
1%
Mistral
1%
Meta
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Amazon
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Tencent
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 65%
OpenAI 36%
Google 2.1%
MiniMax <1%
$21,620 Обс.
$21,620 Обс.
Oct 31, 2026
Anthropic
$5,372 Обс.
65%
OpenAI
$6,430 Обс.
36%
$1,473 Обс.
2%
MiniMax
$488 Обс.
1%
Mistral
$518 Обс.
1%
Meta
$501 Обс.
<1%
Alibaba
$475 Обс.
<1%
Moonshot
$286 Обс.
<1%
Baidu
$390 Обс.
<1%
Z.ai
$858 Обс.
<1%
Xiaomi
$253 Обс.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$518 Обс.
<1%
DeepSeek
$479 Обс.
<1%
Amazon
$586 Обс.
<1%
ByteDance
$454 Обс.
<1%
Nvidia
$386 Обс.
<1%
Thinky
$562 Обс.
<1%
Meituan
$283 Обс.
<1%
Tencent
$339 Обс.
<1%
StepFun
$459 Обс.
<1%
Microsoft
$509 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 64% implied probability due to its Claude Opus 4.8 and Fable series models posting top scores on rigorous math evaluations like USAMO 2026 (97.6%) and strong results across AIME and HMMT benchmarks in September 2026. These outcomes reflect consistent frontier performance in multi-step mathematical reasoning and proof-based tasks central to LiveBench's mathematics category. OpenAI trails at 35.5% amid GPT-5 variants showing competitive but slightly lower math-specific results, while Chinese labs including Moonshot and Z.ai post high provisional scores on related tests yet face lower odds given LiveBench's dynamic, contamination-resistant design. Key catalysts ahead include any late-October model updates or benchmark refreshes that could shift the live leaderboard before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
Обсяг
$21,620Дата завершення
Nov 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 64% implied probability due to its Claude Opus 4.8 and Fable series models posting top scores on rigorous math evaluations like USAMO 2026 (97.6%) and strong results across AIME and HMMT benchmarks in September 2026. These outcomes reflect consistent frontier performance in multi-step mathematical reasoning and proof-based tasks central to LiveBench's mathematics category. OpenAI trails at 35.5% amid GPT-5 variants showing competitive but slightly lower math-specific results, while Chinese labs including Moonshot and Z.ai post high provisional scores on related tests yet face lower odds given LiveBench's dynamic, contamination-resistant design. Key catalysts ahead include any late-October model updates or benchmark refreshes that could shift the live leaderboard before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model with the highest Mathematics score on LiveBench.ai when the leaderboard is checked on October 31, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Results from the “Mathematics” column of the leaderboard at https://livebench.ai/#/?cats=Mathematics, with the latest available LiveBench release selected and the category set to “Mathematics,” will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ranked according to the specified score, with higher scores ranked ahead of lower scores. If two or more models have exactly the same score as displayed on the leaderboard, the model with the lower listed "cost per successful task" will be ranked ahead. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact score and cost per successful task, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the LiveBench leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to “Other.”
Обсяг
$21,620Дата завершення
Nov 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 8:04 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Anthropic leads trader sentiment at 64% implied probability due to its Claude Opus 4.8 and Fable series models posting top scores on rigorous math evaluations like USAMO 2026 (97.6%) and strong results across AIME and HMMT benchmarks in September 2026. These outcomes reflect consistent frontier performance in multi-step mathematical reasoning and proof-based tasks central to LiveBench's mathematics category. OpenAI trails at 35.5% amid GPT-5 variants showing competitive but slightly lower math-specific results, while Chinese labs including Moonshot and Z.ai post high provisional scores on related tests yet face lower odds given LiveBench's dynamic, contamination-resistant design. Key catalysts ahead include any late-October model updates or benchmark refreshes that could shift the live leaderboard before resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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