Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors Anthropic at 100% implied probability for holding the #3 spot on the LM Arena Text leaderboard (Style Control On) at month-end, as Claude Opus 4.6 sits firmly at #3 with a 1497 Elo score—trailing only two superior Anthropic variants, Claude Opus 4.7-thinking (1503) and 4.6-thinking (1502). This dominance stems from Anthropic's April releases of Claude 4.6 and 4.7 models, which excelled in crowdsourced battles emphasizing substantive content over stylistic flair, outpacing rivals like Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview at #5 (1493). With the leaderboard updated just 22 hours ago and the market resolving imminently, a late-breaking model update from OpenAI, Google, or xAI could theoretically displace it, though tight timelines make such shifts improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhich company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
Which company has the #3 AI model end of April? (Style Control On)
Anthropic 100.0%
Google <1%
Alibaba <1%
ByteDance <1%
$137,322 Обс.
$137,322 Обс.
Apr 30, 2026
No
Alibaba
No
ByteDance
No
Moonshot
No
Z.ai
No
DeepSeek
No
Microsoft
No
Anthropic
Yes
OpenAI
No
xAI
No
Baidu
No
Amazon
No
Mistral
No
Meituan
No
Meta
No
Anthropic 100.0%
Google <1%
Alibaba <1%
ByteDance <1%
$137,322 Обс.
$137,322 Обс.
Apr 30, 2026
$10,090 Обс.
No
Alibaba
$3,620 Обс.
No
ByteDance
$3,795 Обс.
No
Moonshot
$6,791 Обс.
No
Z.ai
$6,382 Обс.
No
DeepSeek
$9,593 Обс.
No
Microsoft
$1,197 Обс.
No
Anthropic
$42,094 Обс.
Yes
OpenAI
$16,493 Обс.
No
xAI
$8,278 Обс.
No
Baidu
$4,255 Обс.
No
Amazon
$5,670 Обс.
No
Mistral
$3,713 Обс.
No
Meituan
$2,997 Обс.
No
Meta
$12,354 Обс.
No
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors Anthropic at 100% implied probability for holding the #3 spot on the LM Arena Text leaderboard (Style Control On) at month-end, as Claude Opus 4.6 sits firmly at #3 with a 1497 Elo score—trailing only two superior Anthropic variants, Claude Opus 4.7-thinking (1503) and 4.6-thinking (1502). This dominance stems from Anthropic's April releases of Claude 4.6 and 4.7 models, which excelled in crowdsourced battles emphasizing substantive content over stylistic flair, outpacing rivals like Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview at #5 (1493). With the leaderboard updated just 22 hours ago and the market resolving imminently, a late-breaking model update from OpenAI, Google, or xAI could theoretically displace it, though tight timelines make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Ринок відкрито: Mar 20, 2026, 4:44 PM ET
Обсяг
$137,322Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 20, 2026, 4:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: Yes
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: Yes
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors Anthropic at 100% implied probability for holding the #3 spot on the LM Arena Text leaderboard (Style Control On) at month-end, as Claude Opus 4.6 sits firmly at #3 with a 1497 Elo score—trailing only two superior Anthropic variants, Claude Opus 4.7-thinking (1503) and 4.6-thinking (1502). This dominance stems from Anthropic's April releases of Claude 4.6 and 4.7 models, which excelled in crowdsourced battles emphasizing substantive content over stylistic flair, outpacing rivals like Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview at #5 (1493). With the leaderboard updated just 22 hours ago and the market resolving imminently, a late-breaking model update from OpenAI, Google, or xAI could theoretically displace it, though tight timelines make such shifts improbable.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the third-highest arena rank (Style Control On) based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking system.
The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Обсяг
$137,322Дата завершення
Apr 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 20, 2026, 4:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: Yes
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors Anthropic at 100% implied probability for holding the #3 spot on the LM Arena Text leaderboard (Style Control On) at month-end, as Claude Opus 4.6 sits firmly at #3 with a 1497 Elo score—trailing only two superior Anthropic variants, Claude Opus 4.7-thinking (1503) and 4.6-thinking (1502). This dominance stems from Anthropic's April releases of Claude 4.6 and 4.7 models, which excelled in crowdsourced battles emphasizing substantive content over stylistic flair, outpacing rivals like Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview at #5 (1493). With the leaderboard updated just 22 hours ago and the market resolving imminently, a late-breaking model update from OpenAI, Google, or xAI could theoretically displace it, though tight timelines make such shifts improbable.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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