Traders assign Anthropic a 96.8% implied probability of leading the top AI model by end of August, driven by its recent Claude releases that have set new standards in style control, reasoning benchmarks, and overall large language model capabilities. This consensus reflects sustained leadership in competitive evaluations against OpenAI, Google, and others, reinforced by consistent product updates and a focus on reliable, high-performance architectures that have widened the gap in the current cycle. With resolution imminent, the strong positioning leaves limited room for reversal unless a major competitor delivers an unexpected model update or benchmark breakthrough in the remaining days.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhich company has #1 AI model end of August? (Style Control On)
Which company has #1 AI model end of August? (Style Control On)
Anthropic 96.8%
OpenAI 2.2%
Google 1.1%
Bytedance <1%
$25,630 Обс.
$25,630 Обс.
Aug 31, 2026
Anthropic
97%
OpenAI
2%
1%
Bytedance
1%
DeepSeek
1%
Xiaomi
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Meta
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Z.ai
<1%
Alibaba
<1%
Baidu
<1%
Thinky
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Anthropic 96.8%
OpenAI 2.2%
Google 1.1%
Bytedance <1%
$25,630 Обс.
$25,630 Обс.
Aug 31, 2026
Anthropic
$5,928 Обс.
97%
OpenAI
$2,845 Обс.
2%
$2,058 Обс.
1%
Bytedance
$608 Обс.
1%
DeepSeek
$1,181 Обс.
1%
Xiaomi
$718 Обс.
<1%
MiniMax
$690 Обс.
<1%
Meta
$1,290 Обс.
<1%
StepFun
$721 Обс.
<1%
Moonshot
$1,013 Обс.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$1,871 Обс.
<1%
Z.ai
$550 Обс.
<1%
Alibaba
$1,136 Обс.
<1%
Baidu
$908 Обс.
<1%
Thinky
$330 Обс.
<1%
Meituan
$939 Обс.
<1%
Mistral
$330 Обс.
<1%
Amazon
$774 Обс.
<1%
Nvidia
$344 Обс.
<1%
Tencent
$891 Обс.
<1%
Microsoft
$505 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders assign Anthropic a 96.8% implied probability of leading the top AI model by end of August, driven by its recent Claude releases that have set new standards in style control, reasoning benchmarks, and overall large language model capabilities. This consensus reflects sustained leadership in competitive evaluations against OpenAI, Google, and others, reinforced by consistent product updates and a focus on reliable, high-performance architectures that have widened the gap in the current cycle. With resolution imminent, the strong positioning leaves limited room for reversal unless a major competitor delivers an unexpected model update or benchmark breakthrough in the remaining days.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Ринок відкрито: Jul 16, 2026, 11:09 PM ET
Обсяг
$25,630Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 16, 2026, 11:09 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overallResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Traders assign Anthropic a 96.8% implied probability of leading the top AI model by end of August, driven by its recent Claude releases that have set new standards in style control, reasoning benchmarks, and overall large language model capabilities. This consensus reflects sustained leadership in competitive evaluations against OpenAI, Google, and others, reinforced by consistent product updates and a focus on reliable, high-performance architectures that have widened the gap in the current cycle. With resolution imminent, the strong positioning leaves limited room for reversal unless a major competitor delivers an unexpected model update or benchmark breakthrough in the remaining days.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on August 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Обсяг
$25,630Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 16, 2026, 11:09 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overallResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign Anthropic a 96.8% implied probability of leading the top AI model by end of August, driven by its recent Claude releases that have set new standards in style control, reasoning benchmarks, and overall large language model capabilities. This consensus reflects sustained leadership in competitive evaluations against OpenAI, Google, and others, reinforced by consistent product updates and a focus on reliable, high-performance architectures that have widened the gap in the current cycle. With resolution imminent, the strong positioning leaves limited room for reversal unless a major competitor delivers an unexpected model update or benchmark breakthrough in the remaining days.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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