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icon for What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?
Економ·Parcl·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?

icon for What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?
Економ·Parcl·

Asked by

Parcl image

Parcl

What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?

<432k 100.0%

432 - 434k <1%

434 - 436k <1%

436 - 438k <1%

Polymarket

$6,938 Обс.

<432k 100.0%

432 - 434k <1%

434 - 436k <1%

436 - 438k <1%

Polymarket

$6,938 Обс.

<432k

$1,956 Обс.

Yes

432 - 434k

$946 Обс.

No

434 - 436k

$397 Обс.

No

436 - 438k

$655 Обс.

No

438 - 440k

$1,605 Обс.

No

440 - 442k

$438 Обс.

No

442 - 445k

$308 Обс.

No

>445k

$633 Обс.

No

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)Trader consensus on the median US home value remaining below 432k on May 31 reflects the latest national benchmarks clustered between 360k and 420k, including the Census Bureau’s Q1 2026 median sales price of 403,200 and Zillow’s estimated home values near 368k as of late April. Slowing year-over-year appreciation, reported at just 0.4% in March data, combined with persistently elevated mortgage rates, has capped price momentum and limited monthly gains. High financing costs continue to weigh on buyer demand, keeping transaction medians anchored. While a sudden surge in luxury sales or a data revision could theoretically push readings higher, such shifts would require unprecedented one-month acceleration inconsistent with recent trends in existing-home and new-home metrics.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)
Обсяг
$6,938
Дата завершення
May 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)

Результат запропоновано: Yes

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: Yes

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)Trader consensus on the median US home value remaining below 432k on May 31 reflects the latest national benchmarks clustered between 360k and 420k, including the Census Bureau’s Q1 2026 median sales price of 403,200 and Zillow’s estimated home values near 368k as of late April. Slowing year-over-year appreciation, reported at just 0.4% in March data, combined with persistently elevated mortgage rates, has capped price momentum and limited monthly gains. High financing costs continue to weigh on buyer demand, keeping transaction medians anchored. While a sudden surge in luxury sales or a data revision could theoretically push readings higher, such shifts would require unprecedented one-month acceleration inconsistent with recent trends in existing-home and new-home metrics.

This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)
Обсяг
$6,938
Дата завершення
May 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the United States on May 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the United States (Parcl_ID: 5826765). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2000, which is the median square footage for homes in the US. Parcl is set to publish this data on May 31, 2026. If no data for May 31 is released by June 10, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/33)

Результат запропоновано: Yes

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: Yes

Пов'язане

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 8 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «<432k» з 100%, далі «432 - 434k» з 0%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений May 4, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?», перегляньте 8 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?» — «<432k» з 100%. Наступний — «432 - 434k» з 0%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «What will the median home value in the US be on May 31?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.