Virginia's 11th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, with the party's nominee holding a commanding position for the 2026 general election. The district's Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 reflects consistent margins favoring Democratic candidates in recent presidential and House races. Incumbent James Walkinshaw secured the seat in a September 2025 special election with 75% of the vote after Gerry Connolly's passing, demonstrating robust voter support and fundraising advantages. Mid-decade redistricting approved by voters further reinforced the district's partisan tilt. These factors align with trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome near 95%, though primary challenges or unexpected turnout shifts could alter dynamics ahead of November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоVA-11 House Election Winner
VA-11 House Election Winner
$18,977 Обс.
$18,977 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$18,977 Обс.
$18,977 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$12,275 Обс.
95%
Republican Party
$6,702 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 11th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, with the party's nominee holding a commanding position for the 2026 general election. The district's Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 reflects consistent margins favoring Democratic candidates in recent presidential and House races. Incumbent James Walkinshaw secured the seat in a September 2025 special election with 75% of the vote after Gerry Connolly's passing, demonstrating robust voter support and fundraising advantages. Mid-decade redistricting approved by voters further reinforced the district's partisan tilt. These factors align with trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome near 95%, though primary challenges or unexpected turnout shifts could alter dynamics ahead of November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$18,977Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 11th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, with the party's nominee holding a commanding position for the 2026 general election. The district's Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 reflects consistent margins favoring Democratic candidates in recent presidential and House races. Incumbent James Walkinshaw secured the seat in a September 2025 special election with 75% of the vote after Gerry Connolly's passing, demonstrating robust voter support and fundraising advantages. Mid-decade redistricting approved by voters further reinforced the district's partisan tilt. These factors align with trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome near 95%, though primary challenges or unexpected turnout shifts could alter dynamics ahead of November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$18,977Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 11th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, with the party's nominee holding a commanding position for the 2026 general election. The district's Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+18 reflects consistent margins favoring Democratic candidates in recent presidential and House races. Incumbent James Walkinshaw secured the seat in a September 2025 special election with 75% of the vote after Gerry Connolly's passing, demonstrating robust voter support and fundraising advantages. Mid-decade redistricting approved by voters further reinforced the district's partisan tilt. These factors align with trader consensus pricing the Democratic outcome near 95%, though primary challenges or unexpected turnout shifts could alter dynamics ahead of November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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