Utah's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in the dominant market positioning for the Republican nominee. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat as solid or safe Republican, consistent with Donald Trump's 32-point margin there in the prior presidential election. Redistricting adjustments have not altered the underlying partisan balance, and the Republican primary produced nominee Mike Kennedy, a sitting representative with established support. Democratic candidate Jonny Larsen faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have held the seat with comfortable margins in recent cycles. The November 3, 2026 general election outcome could shift only under an unusually large national Democratic wave or late-breaking developments affecting candidate viability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоUT-04 House Election Winner
UT-04 House Election Winner
$15,038 Обс.
$15,038 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
9%
$15,038 Обс.
$15,038 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$5,489 Обс.
91%
Democratic Party
$9,549 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in the dominant market positioning for the Republican nominee. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat as solid or safe Republican, consistent with Donald Trump's 32-point margin there in the prior presidential election. Redistricting adjustments have not altered the underlying partisan balance, and the Republican primary produced nominee Mike Kennedy, a sitting representative with established support. Democratic candidate Jonny Larsen faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have held the seat with comfortable margins in recent cycles. The November 3, 2026 general election outcome could shift only under an unusually large national Democratic wave or late-breaking developments affecting candidate viability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$15,038Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in the dominant market positioning for the Republican nominee. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat as solid or safe Republican, consistent with Donald Trump's 32-point margin there in the prior presidential election. Redistricting adjustments have not altered the underlying partisan balance, and the Republican primary produced nominee Mike Kennedy, a sitting representative with established support. Democratic candidate Jonny Larsen faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have held the seat with comfortable margins in recent cycles. The November 3, 2026 general election outcome could shift only under an unusually large national Democratic wave or late-breaking developments affecting candidate viability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$15,038Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Utah's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in the dominant market positioning for the Republican nominee. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the seat as solid or safe Republican, consistent with Donald Trump's 32-point margin there in the prior presidential election. Redistricting adjustments have not altered the underlying partisan balance, and the Republican primary produced nominee Mike Kennedy, a sitting representative with established support. Democratic candidate Jonny Larsen faces structural headwinds in a district where Republicans have held the seat with comfortable margins in recent cycles. The November 3, 2026 general election outcome could shift only under an unusually large national Democratic wave or late-breaking developments affecting candidate viability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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