Redistricting has transformed Utah's 1st congressional district into a strongly Democratic-leaning seat, prompting the Republican incumbent to seek reelection elsewhere and positioning the Democratic nominee as the clear favorite in the November 2026 general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on the new partisan voting index. The Democratic primary on June 23 features multiple candidates, including former Representative Ben McAdams and progressive challengers, with recent debate activity and polling focused on vote consolidation among left-leaning voters. The Republican nominee faces an uphill path in the altered district. Trader consensus reflects these structural and candidate dynamics ahead of the primaries and general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоUT-01 House Election Winner
$27,257 Обс.
$27,257 Обс.
Democratic Party
81%
Republican Party
10%
$27,257 Обс.
$27,257 Обс.
Democratic Party
81%
Republican Party
10%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting has transformed Utah's 1st congressional district into a strongly Democratic-leaning seat, prompting the Republican incumbent to seek reelection elsewhere and positioning the Democratic nominee as the clear favorite in the November 2026 general election. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on the new partisan voting index. The Democratic primary on June 23 features multiple candidates, including former Representative Ben McAdams and progressive challengers, with recent debate activity and polling focused on vote consolidation among left-leaning voters. The Republican nominee faces an uphill path in the altered district. Trader consensus reflects these structural and candidate dynamics ahead of the primaries and general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання