Utah's newly redrawn 1st Congressional District, centered in Democratic-leaning Salt Lake City areas, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 88% implied probability for the November 3, 2026 general election winner, reflecting its Solid D rating amid post-redistricting partisan fundamentals that offer Democrats their strongest House pickup path since 2021. Last weekend's state party conventions solidified Liban Mohamed, a progressive upset victor over former Rep. Ben McAdams, as the Democratic convention-endorsed nominee, while Republicans selected Navy veteran Riley Owen; both advance to the June 23 primaries alongside any signature-gatherers. No recent polling shifts odds, but high Democratic turnout potential and GOP struggles in the district sustain the wide margin.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоUT-01 House Election Winner
UT-01 House Election Winner
$26,434 Обс.
$26,434 Обс.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
88%
Republican Party
13%
$26,434 Обс.
$26,434 Обс.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$1,085 Обс.
88%
Republican Party
$25,349 Обс.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's newly redrawn 1st Congressional District, centered in Democratic-leaning Salt Lake City areas, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 88% implied probability for the November 3, 2026 general election winner, reflecting its Solid D rating amid post-redistricting partisan fundamentals that offer Democrats their strongest House pickup path since 2021. Last weekend's state party conventions solidified Liban Mohamed, a progressive upset victor over former Rep. Ben McAdams, as the Democratic convention-endorsed nominee, while Republicans selected Navy veteran Riley Owen; both advance to the June 23 primaries alongside any signature-gatherers. No recent polling shifts odds, but high Democratic turnout potential and GOP struggles in the district sustain the wide margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Обсяг
$26,434Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's newly redrawn 1st Congressional District, centered in Democratic-leaning Salt Lake City areas, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 88% implied probability for the November 3, 2026 general election winner, reflecting its Solid D rating amid post-redistricting partisan fundamentals that offer Democrats their strongest House pickup path since 2021. Last weekend's state party conventions solidified Liban Mohamed, a progressive upset victor over former Rep. Ben McAdams, as the Democratic convention-endorsed nominee, while Republicans selected Navy veteran Riley Owen; both advance to the June 23 primaries alongside any signature-gatherers. No recent polling shifts odds, but high Democratic turnout potential and GOP struggles in the district sustain the wide margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$26,434Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Utah's newly redrawn 1st Congressional District, centered in Democratic-leaning Salt Lake City areas, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 88% implied probability for the November 3, 2026 general election winner, reflecting its Solid D rating amid post-redistricting partisan fundamentals that offer Democrats their strongest House pickup path since 2021. Last weekend's state party conventions solidified Liban Mohamed, a progressive upset victor over former Rep. Ben McAdams, as the Democratic convention-endorsed nominee, while Republicans selected Navy veteran Riley Owen; both advance to the June 23 primaries alongside any signature-gatherers. No recent polling shifts odds, but high Democratic turnout potential and GOP struggles in the district sustain the wide margin.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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