Recent high-level direct talks between U.S. and Iranian officials in Islamabad collapsed on April 12 after 21 hours of negotiations, failing to secure a ceasefire extension or nuclear concessions amid disputes over Iran's program and regional proxies. The U.S. responded with a naval blockade of Iranian ports and warnings against Strait of Hormuz disruptions, spiking oil prices and escalating tensions, while Tehran rejected terms and threatened retaliation. Pakistan has offered to host a second round soon, and President Trump stated April 14 that Iran seeks a peace deal with fresh talks possible within days. Traders assess fragile de-escalation signals against blockade pressures and upcoming Senate war powers vote as key market movers before the resolution deadline.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
$10,778,621 Обс.
Mar 31, 2026
March 15
No
March 31
No
April 10
No
April 11
Yes
April 12
Yes
April 13
Yes
April 14
Yes
April 15
Yes
April 30
Yes
May 31
Yes
June 15
Yes
June 30
Yes
$10,778,621 Обс.
March 15
$245,591 Обс.
No
March 31
$739,420 Обс.
No
April 10
$7,115,645 Обс.
No
April 11
$587,177 Обс.
Yes
April 12
$70,246 Обс.
Yes
April 13
$32,638 Обс.
Yes
April 14
$24,118 Обс.
Yes
April 15
$719,631 Обс.
Yes
April 30
$946,176 Обс.
Yes
May 31
$53,709 Обс.
Yes
June 15
$46,741 Обс.
Yes
June 30
$197,530 Обс.
Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent high-level direct talks between U.S. and Iranian officials in Islamabad collapsed on April 12 after 21 hours of negotiations, failing to secure a ceasefire extension or nuclear concessions amid disputes over Iran's program and regional proxies. The U.S. responded with a naval blockade of Iranian ports and warnings against Strait of Hormuz disruptions, spiking oil prices and escalating tensions, while Tehran rejected terms and threatened retaliation. Pakistan has offered to host a second round soon, and President Trump stated April 14 that Iran seeks a peace deal with fresh talks possible within days. Traders assess fragile de-escalation signals against blockade pressures and upcoming Senate war powers vote as key market movers before the resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Feb 27, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Обсяг
$10,778,621Дата завершення
Mar 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 27, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent high-level direct talks between U.S. and Iranian officials in Islamabad collapsed on April 12 after 21 hours of negotiations, failing to secure a ceasefire extension or nuclear concessions amid disputes over Iran's program and regional proxies. The U.S. responded with a naval blockade of Iranian ports and warnings against Strait of Hormuz disruptions, spiking oil prices and escalating tensions, while Tehran rejected terms and threatened retaliation. Pakistan has offered to host a second round soon, and President Trump stated April 14 that Iran seeks a peace deal with fresh talks possible within days. Traders assess fragile de-escalation signals against blockade pressures and upcoming Senate war powers vote as key market movers before the resolution deadline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$10,778,621Дата завершення
Mar 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 27, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Recent high-level direct talks between U.S. and Iranian officials in Islamabad collapsed on April 12 after 21 hours of negotiations, failing to secure a ceasefire extension or nuclear concessions amid disputes over Iran's program and regional proxies. The U.S. responded with a naval blockade of Iranian ports and warnings against Strait of Hormuz disruptions, spiking oil prices and escalating tensions, while Tehran rejected terms and threatened retaliation. Pakistan has offered to host a second round soon, and President Trump stated April 14 that Iran seeks a peace deal with fresh talks possible within days. Traders assess fragile de-escalation signals against blockade pressures and upcoming Senate war powers vote as key market movers before the resolution deadline.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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