Recent Atlanta Fed GDPNow estimates for Q3 2026 stand at 4.7% as of September 3, reflecting upward revisions to consumer spending and business investment, particularly AI-related capital expenditures, which have offset softer net exports. This aligns with the strong August employment report showing 162,000 payroll gains and stable 4.1% unemployment, alongside resilient final sales to private domestic purchasers. Market-implied odds, with ≥3.0% at 31.5% leading narrowly over the 2.0–2.5% bucket, capture trader consensus around above-trend expansion supported by productivity gains, though elevated inflation and the September FOMC meeting introduce uncertainty over monetary policy responses that could influence the final print.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено≥3.0% 32%
2.0–2.5% 26%
2.5–3.0% 24%
1.5–2.0% 12%
$23,904 Обс.
$23,904 Обс.
Oct 29, 2026
<0.5%
7%
0.5–1.0%
5%
1.0–1.5%
6%
1.5–2.0%
12%
2.0–2.5%
26%
2.5–3.0%
24%
≥3.0%
32%
≥3.0% 32%
2.0–2.5% 26%
2.5–3.0% 24%
1.5–2.0% 12%
$23,904 Обс.
$23,904 Обс.
Oct 29, 2026
<0.5%
$821 Обс.
7%
0.5–1.0%
$485 Обс.
5%
1.0–1.5%
$565 Обс.
6%
1.5–2.0%
$644 Обс.
12%
2.0–2.5%
$1,810 Обс.
26%
2.5–3.0%
$3,316 Обс.
24%
≥3.0%
$16,263 Обс.
32%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.Recent Atlanta Fed GDPNow estimates for Q3 2026 stand at 4.7% as of September 3, reflecting upward revisions to consumer spending and business investment, particularly AI-related capital expenditures, which have offset softer net exports. This aligns with the strong August employment report showing 162,000 payroll gains and stable 4.1% unemployment, alongside resilient final sales to private domestic purchasers. Market-implied odds, with ≥3.0% at 31.5% leading narrowly over the 2.0–2.5% bucket, capture trader consensus around above-trend expansion supported by productivity gains, though elevated inflation and the September FOMC meeting introduce uncertainty over monetary policy responses that could influence the final print.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 31, 2026, 5:38 PM ET
Обсяг
$23,904Дата завершення
Oct 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 31, 2026, 5:38 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.Recent Atlanta Fed GDPNow estimates for Q3 2026 stand at 4.7% as of September 3, reflecting upward revisions to consumer spending and business investment, particularly AI-related capital expenditures, which have offset softer net exports. This aligns with the strong August employment report showing 162,000 payroll gains and stable 4.1% unemployment, alongside resilient final sales to private domestic purchasers. Market-implied odds, with ≥3.0% at 31.5% leading narrowly over the 2.0–2.5% bucket, capture trader consensus around above-trend expansion supported by productivity gains, though elevated inflation and the September FOMC meeting introduce uncertainty over monetary policy responses that could influence the final print.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
Обсяг
$23,904Дата завершення
Oct 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 31, 2026, 5:38 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent Atlanta Fed GDPNow estimates for Q3 2026 stand at 4.7% as of September 3, reflecting upward revisions to consumer spending and business investment, particularly AI-related capital expenditures, which have offset softer net exports. This aligns with the strong August employment report showing 162,000 payroll gains and stable 4.1% unemployment, alongside resilient final sales to private domestic purchasers. Market-implied odds, with ≥3.0% at 31.5% leading narrowly over the 2.0–2.5% bucket, capture trader consensus around above-trend expansion supported by productivity gains, though elevated inflation and the September FOMC meeting introduce uncertainty over monetary policy responses that could influence the final print.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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