US officials continue to reject any toll or permission system for the Strait of Hormuz, insisting on unrestricted freedom of navigation under international law amid ongoing US-Iran-Oman talks over routing and oversight. President Trump reversed an earlier proposal for a 20% US reimbursement fee, shifting instead toward trade and investment commitments from Gulf states. Iran has advanced plans for 5-7% cargo fees on commercial transits and potential restrictions on US and Israeli vessels, but Washington and regional partners have dismissed these measures. Trader consensus on low probabilities for US fees by year-end reflects these diplomatic positions, enforcement challenges, and preference for negotiated toll-free outcomes over precedent-setting charges.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоUS charges Hormuz fees by...?
US charges Hormuz fees by...?
$960,309 Обс.
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
1%
December 31
7%
$960,309 Обс.
August 31
$175,373 Обс.
1%
December 31
$97,784 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.US officials continue to reject any toll or permission system for the Strait of Hormuz, insisting on unrestricted freedom of navigation under international law amid ongoing US-Iran-Oman talks over routing and oversight. President Trump reversed an earlier proposal for a 20% US reimbursement fee, shifting instead toward trade and investment commitments from Gulf states. Iran has advanced plans for 5-7% cargo fees on commercial transits and potential restrictions on US and Israeli vessels, but Washington and regional partners have dismissed these measures. Trader consensus on low probabilities for US fees by year-end reflects these diplomatic positions, enforcement challenges, and preference for negotiated toll-free outcomes over precedent-setting charges.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Обсяг
$960,309Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.US officials continue to reject any toll or permission system for the Strait of Hormuz, insisting on unrestricted freedom of navigation under international law amid ongoing US-Iran-Oman talks over routing and oversight. President Trump reversed an earlier proposal for a 20% US reimbursement fee, shifting instead toward trade and investment commitments from Gulf states. Iran has advanced plans for 5-7% cargo fees on commercial transits and potential restrictions on US and Israeli vessels, but Washington and regional partners have dismissed these measures. Trader consensus on low probabilities for US fees by year-end reflects these diplomatic positions, enforcement challenges, and preference for negotiated toll-free outcomes over precedent-setting charges.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States government collects a payment from any shipping company, vessel, foreign government, or other relevant entity as a fee, toll, or reimbursement for transit through the Strait of Hormuz, or for the protection of shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Any payment amount or rate will count. Payments may be monetary or in-kind (e.g., a share of cargo or oil) and may be collected directly by the US government or by an agent, contractor, or intermediary collecting on its behalf, provided the payment is made under a US-imposed fee or a compensation arrangement.
The announcement, signing, or establishment of a fee program, executive order, regulation, or collection mechanism will not by itself qualify; at least one payment must actually be received by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
Payments collected by Iran or any other party acting on its own behalf will not count. Payments under preexisting obligations, including US customs duties, tariffs on goods imported into the United States, or standard port charges, will not count unless newly imposed as a condition of Strait of Hormuz transit or protection.
The resolution sources will be official announcements from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$960,309Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 13, 2026, 12:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US officials continue to reject any toll or permission system for the Strait of Hormuz, insisting on unrestricted freedom of navigation under international law amid ongoing US-Iran-Oman talks over routing and oversight. President Trump reversed an earlier proposal for a 20% US reimbursement fee, shifting instead toward trade and investment commitments from Gulf states. Iran has advanced plans for 5-7% cargo fees on commercial transits and potential restrictions on US and Israeli vessels, but Washington and regional partners have dismissed these measures. Trader consensus on low probabilities for US fees by year-end reflects these diplomatic positions, enforcement challenges, and preference for negotiated toll-free outcomes over precedent-setting charges.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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