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Вибори·Первинні

TX-38 Republican Primary Winner

icon for TX-38 Republican Primary Winner
Вибори·Первинні

TX-38 Republican Primary Winner

Jon Bonck 94.3%

Barrett McNabb 2.5%

Shelly deZevallos 1.6%

Jennifer Sundt 1.3%

Polymarket

$38,870 Обс.

Jon Bonck 94.3%

Barrett McNabb 2.5%

Shelly deZevallos 1.6%

Jennifer Sundt 1.3%

Polymarket

$38,870 Обс.

Jon Bonck

$18,040 Обс.

94%

Barrett McNabb

$1,688 Обс.

2%

Shelly deZevallos

$3,299 Обс.

2%

Jennifer Sundt

$2,476 Обс.

1%

Michael Pratt

$2,840 Обс.

1%

Craig Goralski

$1,660 Обс.

1%

Carmen Montiel

$1,583 Обс.

1%

Avery Ayers

$2,470 Обс.

1%

Jeff Yuna

$2,557 Обс.

<1%

Larry Rubin

$2,255 Обс.

18%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jon Bonck holds commanding trader consensus at over 90% implied probability to win the TX-38 Republican primary runoff on May 26, driven by his dominant 47.7% in the March 3 primary among 10 candidates, well ahead of Shelly deZevallos's 18.6%, which advanced her as the challenger in this open seat vacated by Wesley Hunt's Senate bid. Bonck's February Trump endorsement, backing from Ted Cruz and Speaker Mike Johnson, and superior fundraising—$1.4 million raised with $438,000 cash on hand versus deZevallos's $930,000—have solidified his frontrunner status, as affirmed by Cook Political Report rating him the heavy favorite. With early voting starting May 18, an upset would require a deZevallos debate surge, late GOP defection, scandal hitting Bonck, or turnout favoring her congressional and local endorsements.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$38,870
Дата завершення
May 26, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jon Bonck holds commanding trader consensus at over 90% implied probability to win the TX-38 Republican primary runoff on May 26, driven by his dominant 47.7% in the March 3 primary among 10 candidates, well ahead of Shelly deZevallos's 18.6%, which advanced her as the challenger in this open seat vacated by Wesley Hunt's Senate bid. Bonck's February Trump endorsement, backing from Ted Cruz and Speaker Mike Johnson, and superior fundraising—$1.4 million raised with $438,000 cash on hand versus deZevallos's $930,000—have solidified his frontrunner status, as affirmed by Cook Political Report rating him the heavy favorite. With early voting starting May 18, an upset would require a deZevallos debate surge, late GOP defection, scandal hitting Bonck, or turnout favoring her congressional and local endorsements.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$38,870
Дата завершення
May 26, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 6, 2026, 6:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on March 3, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«TX-38 Republican Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 10 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Jon Bonck» з 94%, далі «Larry Rubin» з 18%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «TX-38 Republican Primary Winner» згенерував $38.9K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Feb 6, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «TX-38 Republican Primary Winner», перегляньте 10 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «TX-38 Republican Primary Winner» — «Jon Bonck» з 94%. Наступний — «Larry Rubin» з 18%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «TX-38 Republican Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.