The heavily Democratic tilt of Texas’s 33rd congressional district, reinforced by recent redistricting that added portions of the neighboring 32nd district, underpins the 91.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. The new boundaries produced a district that favored Kamala Harris by roughly 33 points in 2024, yielding a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+18 and a solid-D rating. With the Democratic primary runoff between Colin Allred and Julie Johnson set for May 26 and Republican candidates advancing separately, traders view the general-election outcome as largely predetermined absent major shifts. Scenarios that could still alter the result include an unexpected Democratic scandal, unusually strong Republican turnout in the Dallas-Fort Worth area, or a broader national political realignment before Election Day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-33 House Election Winner
TX-33 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,553 Обс.
92%
Republican Party
$192 Обс.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic tilt of Texas’s 33rd congressional district, reinforced by recent redistricting that added portions of the neighboring 32nd district, underpins the 91.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. The new boundaries produced a district that favored Kamala Harris by roughly 33 points in 2024, yielding a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+18 and a solid-D rating. With the Democratic primary runoff between Colin Allred and Julie Johnson set for May 26 and Republican candidates advancing separately, traders view the general-election outcome as largely predetermined absent major shifts. Scenarios that could still alter the result include an unexpected Democratic scandal, unusually strong Republican turnout in the Dallas-Fort Worth area, or a broader national political realignment before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,745Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic tilt of Texas’s 33rd congressional district, reinforced by recent redistricting that added portions of the neighboring 32nd district, underpins the 91.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. The new boundaries produced a district that favored Kamala Harris by roughly 33 points in 2024, yielding a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+18 and a solid-D rating. With the Democratic primary runoff between Colin Allred and Julie Johnson set for May 26 and Republican candidates advancing separately, traders view the general-election outcome as largely predetermined absent major shifts. Scenarios that could still alter the result include an unexpected Democratic scandal, unusually strong Republican turnout in the Dallas-Fort Worth area, or a broader national political realignment before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-33 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$2,745Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Democratic tilt of Texas’s 33rd congressional district, reinforced by recent redistricting that added portions of the neighboring 32nd district, underpins the 91.5% implied probability for the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. The new boundaries produced a district that favored Kamala Harris by roughly 33 points in 2024, yielding a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+18 and a solid-D rating. With the Democratic primary runoff between Colin Allred and Julie Johnson set for May 26 and Republican candidates advancing separately, traders view the general-election outcome as largely predetermined absent major shifts. Scenarios that could still alter the result include an unexpected Democratic scandal, unusually strong Republican turnout in the Dallas-Fort Worth area, or a broader national political realignment before Election Day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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