Turkey’s readmission to the F-35 program remains blocked by statutory requirements under the National Defense Authorization Act and CAATSA, which mandate that Ankara no longer possess or operate its Russian S-400 air-defense system and provide credible assurances against future Russian acquisitions. U.S.-Turkey talks intensified after the 2025 U.S. presidential transition, with the Trump administration signaling openness to lifting sanctions and resuming deliveries, yet a July 2026 State Department letter to Congress reaffirmed that Turkey has not met certification conditions. Turkish officials describe negotiations as advancing and note improved bilateral ties, while congressional concerns—particularly from lawmakers sensitive to regional allies—continue to emphasize security risks to stealth technology. Any resolution would require verifiable S-400 removal or equivalent measures, followed by executive certification and potential legislative action.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$38,979 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31, 2026
11%
June 30, 2027
38%
$38,979 Обс.
December 31, 2026
$29,214 Обс.
11%
June 30, 2027
$9,765 Обс.
38%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.Turkey’s readmission to the F-35 program remains blocked by statutory requirements under the National Defense Authorization Act and CAATSA, which mandate that Ankara no longer possess or operate its Russian S-400 air-defense system and provide credible assurances against future Russian acquisitions. U.S.-Turkey talks intensified after the 2025 U.S. presidential transition, with the Trump administration signaling openness to lifting sanctions and resuming deliveries, yet a July 2026 State Department letter to Congress reaffirmed that Turkey has not met certification conditions. Turkish officials describe negotiations as advancing and note improved bilateral ties, while congressional concerns—particularly from lawmakers sensitive to regional allies—continue to emphasize security risks to stealth technology. Any resolution would require verifiable S-400 removal or equivalent measures, followed by executive certification and potential legislative action.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 14, 2026, 10:15 AM ET
Обсяг
$38,979Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jul 14, 2026, 10:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.Turkey’s readmission to the F-35 program remains blocked by statutory requirements under the National Defense Authorization Act and CAATSA, which mandate that Ankara no longer possess or operate its Russian S-400 air-defense system and provide credible assurances against future Russian acquisitions. U.S.-Turkey talks intensified after the 2025 U.S. presidential transition, with the Trump administration signaling openness to lifting sanctions and resuming deliveries, yet a July 2026 State Department letter to Congress reaffirmed that Turkey has not met certification conditions. Turkish officials describe negotiations as advancing and note improved bilateral ties, while congressional concerns—particularly from lawmakers sensitive to regional allies—continue to emphasize security risks to stealth technology. Any resolution would require verifiable S-400 removal or equivalent measures, followed by executive certification and potential legislative action.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Turkey becomes formally included in the F-35 program between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
Turkey will be considered formally included in the F-35 program if any of the following occur:
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Partner;
- Turkey is officially listed by the F-35 Joint Program Office as an F-35 Foreign Military Sales Customer; or
- the United States federal government officially announces that Turkey has signed or accepted a Foreign Military Sales Letter (FMS) of Offer and Acceptance (LOA) for F-35 aircraft or F-35 components.
Statements of intent, negotiations, sanctions relief, waiver or certification of legal restrictions, congressional notification, or general announcements that the United States supports or is considering an F-35 sale to Turkey will not qualify unless one of the above conditions is met.
Once a qualifying action has occurred, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent reversal, suspension, or cancellation.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the F-35 Joint Program Office and the United States federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be considered.
Обсяг
$38,979Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jul 14, 2026, 10:15 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Turkey’s readmission to the F-35 program remains blocked by statutory requirements under the National Defense Authorization Act and CAATSA, which mandate that Ankara no longer possess or operate its Russian S-400 air-defense system and provide credible assurances against future Russian acquisitions. U.S.-Turkey talks intensified after the 2025 U.S. presidential transition, with the Trump administration signaling openness to lifting sanctions and resuming deliveries, yet a July 2026 State Department letter to Congress reaffirmed that Turkey has not met certification conditions. Turkish officials describe negotiations as advancing and note improved bilateral ties, while congressional concerns—particularly from lawmakers sensitive to regional allies—continue to emphasize security risks to stealth technology. Any resolution would require verifiable S-400 removal or equivalent measures, followed by executive certification and potential legislative action.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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