Recent polling aggregates from sources including the New York Times and Nate Silver’s bulletin have held steady near 38 percent approval through early to mid-August 2026, reflecting a gradual decline over the prior year amid economic pressures and foreign policy developments. Multiple surveys released in the first half of August, such as Economist/YouGov and Reuters/Ipsos, clustered in the low-to-mid 30s, while higher-readings like Rasmussen reinforced the narrow band around 38 percent. Traders assign overwhelming probability to the 38.0–38.4 range because these consistent aggregator readings on or near August 14 showed limited daily movement. A major late-breaking poll revision, unexpected economic data release, or sudden diplomatic event within the resolution window could still shift the final published figure.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено38.0–38.4 100.0%
37.0–37.4 1.8%
<37.0 <1%
37.5–37.9 <1%
$6,278 Обс.
$6,278 Обс.
Aug 14, 2026
<37.0
No
37.0–37.4
No
37.5–37.9
No
38.0–38.4
Yes
38.5–38.9
No
39.0+
No
38.0–38.4 100.0%
37.0–37.4 1.8%
<37.0 <1%
37.5–37.9 <1%
$6,278 Обс.
$6,278 Обс.
Aug 14, 2026
<37.0
$1,152 Обс.
No
37.0–37.4
$674 Обс.
No
37.5–37.9
$888 Обс.
No
38.0–38.4
$1,234 Обс.
Yes
38.5–38.9
$1,261 Обс.
No
39.0+
$1,070 Обс.
No
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates from sources including the New York Times and Nate Silver’s bulletin have held steady near 38 percent approval through early to mid-August 2026, reflecting a gradual decline over the prior year amid economic pressures and foreign policy developments. Multiple surveys released in the first half of August, such as Economist/YouGov and Reuters/Ipsos, clustered in the low-to-mid 30s, while higher-readings like Rasmussen reinforced the narrow band around 38 percent. Traders assign overwhelming probability to the 38.0–38.4 range because these consistent aggregator readings on or near August 14 showed limited daily movement. A major late-breaking poll revision, unexpected economic data release, or sudden diplomatic event within the resolution window could still shift the final published figure.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ET
Обсяг
$6,278Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates from sources including the New York Times and Nate Silver’s bulletin have held steady near 38 percent approval through early to mid-August 2026, reflecting a gradual decline over the prior year amid economic pressures and foreign policy developments. Multiple surveys released in the first half of August, such as Economist/YouGov and Reuters/Ipsos, clustered in the low-to-mid 30s, while higher-readings like Rasmussen reinforced the narrow band around 38 percent. Traders assign overwhelming probability to the 38.0–38.4 range because these consistent aggregator readings on or near August 14 showed limited daily movement. A major late-breaking poll revision, unexpected economic data release, or sudden diplomatic event within the resolution window could still shift the final published figure.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on August 14, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Обсяг
$6,278Дата завершення
Aug 14, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 8, 2026, 12:09 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Результат запропоновано: No
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: No
Recent polling aggregates from sources including the New York Times and Nate Silver’s bulletin have held steady near 38 percent approval through early to mid-August 2026, reflecting a gradual decline over the prior year amid economic pressures and foreign policy developments. Multiple surveys released in the first half of August, such as Economist/YouGov and Reuters/Ipsos, clustered in the low-to-mid 30s, while higher-readings like Rasmussen reinforced the narrow band around 38 percent. Traders assign overwhelming probability to the 38.0–38.4 range because these consistent aggregator readings on or near August 14 showed limited daily movement. A major late-breaking poll revision, unexpected economic data release, or sudden diplomatic event within the resolution window could still shift the final published figure.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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