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icon for Трамп оголошує про припинення військових операцій проти Ірану до ...?
Політика·Близький Схід

Трамп оголошує про припинення військових операцій проти Ірану до ...?

icon for Трамп оголошує про припинення військових операцій проти Ірану до ...?
Політика·Близький Схід

Трамп оголошує про припинення військових операцій проти Ірану до ...?

$44,722,907 Обс.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$44,722,907 Обс.

Polymarket

1 березня

$62,834 Обс.

Ні

2 березня

$128,313 Обс.

Ні

7 березня

$0 Обс.

Ні

15 березня

$0 Обс.

Ні

31 березня

$5,173,902 Обс.

Ні

7 квітня

$3,147,132 Обс.

Ні

15 квітня

$9,488,906 Обс.

Ні

21 квітня

$4,913,838 Обс.

Ні

April 24

$924,036 Обс.

No

30 квітня

$13,050,669 Обс.

Ні

31 травня

$4,090,017 Обс.

Так

30 червня

$3,743,260 Обс.

Так

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump notified Congress on May 1 that U.S. military operations against Iran, launched February 28 under Operation Epic Fury to dismantle missile, nuclear, and naval threats, have been terminated, coinciding with a fragile ceasefire holding since early April. Troops remain deployed amid contingency plans for strikes on Iranian naval assets or Strait of Hormuz targets if violations occur, while the administration navigates War Powers Resolution challenges and congressional pushback. Traders assess the likelihood of a formal public announcement, potential ceasefire breakdowns from Iranian retaliation or proxy actions, and upcoming deadlines for congressional authorization, with historical precedents like short-term Gulf conflicts informing de-escalation risks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.

Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$44,722,907
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 28, 2026, 11:27 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

Результат запропоновано: Ні

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: Ні

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump notified Congress on May 1 that U.S. military operations against Iran, launched February 28 under Operation Epic Fury to dismantle missile, nuclear, and naval threats, have been terminated, coinciding with a fragile ceasefire holding since early April. Troops remain deployed amid contingency plans for strikes on Iranian naval assets or Strait of Hormuz targets if violations occur, while the administration navigates War Powers Resolution challenges and congressional pushback. Traders assess the likelihood of a formal public announcement, potential ceasefire breakdowns from Iranian retaliation or proxy actions, and upcoming deadlines for congressional authorization, with historical precedents like short-term Gulf conflicts informing de-escalation risks.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify.

Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Trump, the US government, or the military publicly and officially announce that their military operations against Iran, initiated on February 28, 2026, have concluded by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying statements must clearly indicate that the operation has ended. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources or leaks will not qualify. Written public statements from Donald Trump (e.g. posts from his personal Truth Social account), will count. Videos posted on his social media accounts will also qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from the US government and/or its official representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$44,722,907
Дата завершення
Jun 30, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 28, 2026, 11:27 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

Результат запропоновано: Ні

Без оскарження

Кінцевий результат: Ні

Пов'язане

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Чи вторгнеться США в Іран до 2027 року?

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Трамп оголошує про припинення військових операцій проти Ірану до ...?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 12 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «31 травня» з 100%, далі «30 червня» з 100%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Трамп оголошує про припинення військових операцій проти Ірану до ...?» згенерував $44.7 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Feb 28, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Трамп оголошує про припинення військових операцій проти Ірану до ...?», перегляньте 12 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Трамп оголошує про припинення військових операцій проти Ірану до ...?» — «31 травня» з 100%. Наступний — «30 червня» з 100%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Трамп оголошує про припинення військових операцій проти Ірану до ...?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.