Iranian authorities have repeatedly imposed nationwide internet and telecommunications restrictions to limit information flow during periods of domestic unrest or external military tensions, as demonstrated by the near-total blackout from January 8 to late May 2026 that isolated the country for 88 days amid protests and strikes. This episode, the longest on record, highlighted the regime's technical capacity via entities such as the IRGC and communications ministry, alongside willingness to accept substantial economic losses estimated in the billions. Partial restoration occurred in May 2026, but tiered access and elevated prices persist. Trader sentiment for any future total blackout by a given deadline centers on triggers including protest anniversaries, policy disputes, or renewed conflict escalations, weighed against the high visibility and costs of such measures.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$222,770 Обс.
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
7%
September 30
26%
December 31
49%
$222,770 Обс.
August 31
$169,467 Обс.
7%
September 30
$62 Обс.
26%
December 31
$7 Обс.
49%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian authorities have repeatedly imposed nationwide internet and telecommunications restrictions to limit information flow during periods of domestic unrest or external military tensions, as demonstrated by the near-total blackout from January 8 to late May 2026 that isolated the country for 88 days amid protests and strikes. This episode, the longest on record, highlighted the regime's technical capacity via entities such as the IRGC and communications ministry, alongside willingness to accept substantial economic losses estimated in the billions. Partial restoration occurred in May 2026, but tiered access and elevated prices persist. Trader sentiment for any future total blackout by a given deadline centers on triggers including protest anniversaries, policy disputes, or renewed conflict escalations, weighed against the high visibility and costs of such measures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 20, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
Обсяг
$222,770Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 20, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Iranian authorities have repeatedly imposed nationwide internet and telecommunications restrictions to limit information flow during periods of domestic unrest or external military tensions, as demonstrated by the near-total blackout from January 8 to late May 2026 that isolated the country for 88 days amid protests and strikes. This episode, the longest on record, highlighted the regime's technical capacity via entities such as the IRGC and communications ministry, alongside willingness to accept substantial economic losses estimated in the billions. Partial restoration occurred in May 2026, but tiered access and elevated prices persist. Trader sentiment for any future total blackout by a given deadline centers on triggers including protest anniversaries, policy disputes, or renewed conflict escalations, weighed against the high visibility and costs of such measures.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a total internet blackout occurs in Iran by the specified date, 11:59 PM UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
For the purposes of this market, a “total internet blackout” occurring means that, according to Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, total bytes transferred have fallen to 1.0% or less of the last 4 weeks’ Max for at least six consecutive hourly data points, as shown in the Traffic trends → Bytes transferred (Total bytes) chart for the last 4 weeks (https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d).
The relevant figures for each hourly data point are listed in this chart as “__% of Max”. The Max for each data point will be the Max figure used in the chart by Cloudflare.
Only the first of the relevant consecutive hourly data points must fall before this market’s resolution time. If required, to confirm the full sequence, the market will remain open until both relevant data points are observed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be Cloudflare Radar data for Iran, specifically the Iran Traffic trends chart for the last 4 weeks found at https://radar.cloudflare.com/traffic/ir?dateRange=28d. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$222,770Дата завершення
Aug 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 20, 2026, 4:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iranian authorities have repeatedly imposed nationwide internet and telecommunications restrictions to limit information flow during periods of domestic unrest or external military tensions, as demonstrated by the near-total blackout from January 8 to late May 2026 that isolated the country for 88 days amid protests and strikes. This episode, the longest on record, highlighted the regime's technical capacity via entities such as the IRGC and communications ministry, alongside willingness to accept substantial economic losses estimated in the billions. Partial restoration occurred in May 2026, but tiered access and elevated prices persist. Trader sentiment for any future total blackout by a given deadline centers on triggers including protest anniversaries, policy disputes, or renewed conflict escalations, weighed against the high visibility and costs of such measures.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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