Google and Z.ai lead market-implied odds for third place in Text Arena Math by late October because their recent Gemini 3.x and GLM-5.3 model families post the strongest non-Anthropic scores on arena.ai’s math-specific leaderboard, with multiple entries clustered in the 1498–1525 range. Anthropic’s Claude Opus and Fable variants continue to dominate the top ranks, leaving Google and Z.ai to battle for the next tier against OpenAI’s GPT-5.x series and Alibaba’s Qwen3 models. Traders are tracking incremental releases and benchmark updates through September and October, as small Elo gains or new high-math variants from any of these labs could reorder the standings before resolution. The tight spread among the top four reflects how closely matched current math-reasoning capabilities remain outside the clear leader.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоThird-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
Google 32%
Z.ai 30.0%
OpenAI 16%
Alibaba 13%
$41,013 Обс.
$41,013 Обс.
Oct 31, 2026
32%
Z.ai
30%
OpenAI
16%
Alibaba
13%
Moonshot
2%
Baidu
1%
Anthropic
1%
Nvidia
1%
Meituan
1%
Xiaomi
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Meta
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Bytedance
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Google 32%
Z.ai 30.0%
OpenAI 16%
Alibaba 13%
$41,013 Обс.
$41,013 Обс.
Oct 31, 2026
$10,854 Обс.
32%
Z.ai
$2,355 Обс.
30%
OpenAI
$4,084 Обс.
16%
Alibaba
$10,725 Обс.
13%
Moonshot
$1,000 Обс.
2%
Baidu
$834 Обс.
1%
Anthropic
$810 Обс.
1%
Nvidia
$1,284 Обс.
1%
Meituan
$1,640 Обс.
1%
Xiaomi
$820 Обс.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$790 Обс.
<1%
DeepSeek
$789 Обс.
<1%
Meta
$769 Обс.
<1%
Tencent
$812 Обс.
<1%
Bytedance
$855 Обс.
<1%
MiniMax
$632 Обс.
<1%
Amazon
$495 Обс.
<1%
Mistral
$646 Обс.
<1%
StepFun
$422 Обс.
<1%
Microsoft
$395 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google and Z.ai lead market-implied odds for third place in Text Arena Math by late October because their recent Gemini 3.x and GLM-5.3 model families post the strongest non-Anthropic scores on arena.ai’s math-specific leaderboard, with multiple entries clustered in the 1498–1525 range. Anthropic’s Claude Opus and Fable variants continue to dominate the top ranks, leaving Google and Z.ai to battle for the next tier against OpenAI’s GPT-5.x series and Alibaba’s Qwen3 models. Traders are tracking incremental releases and benchmark updates through September and October, as small Elo gains or new high-math variants from any of these labs could reorder the standings before resolution. The tight spread among the top four reflects how closely matched current math-reasoning capabilities remain outside the clear leader.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ET
Обсяг
$41,013Дата завершення
Nov 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google and Z.ai lead market-implied odds for third place in Text Arena Math by late October because their recent Gemini 3.x and GLM-5.3 model families post the strongest non-Anthropic scores on arena.ai’s math-specific leaderboard, with multiple entries clustered in the 1498–1525 range. Anthropic’s Claude Opus and Fable variants continue to dominate the top ranks, leaving Google and Z.ai to battle for the next tier against OpenAI’s GPT-5.x series and Alibaba’s Qwen3 models. Traders are tracking incremental releases and benchmark updates through September and October, as small Elo gains or new high-math variants from any of these labs could reorder the standings before resolution. The tight spread among the top four reflects how closely matched current math-reasoning capabilities remain outside the clear leader.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Обсяг
$41,013Дата завершення
Nov 1, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 7:54 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Google and Z.ai lead market-implied odds for third place in Text Arena Math by late October because their recent Gemini 3.x and GLM-5.3 model families post the strongest non-Anthropic scores on arena.ai’s math-specific leaderboard, with multiple entries clustered in the 1498–1525 range. Anthropic’s Claude Opus and Fable variants continue to dominate the top ranks, leaving Google and Z.ai to battle for the next tier against OpenAI’s GPT-5.x series and Alibaba’s Qwen3 models. Traders are tracking incremental releases and benchmark updates through September and October, as small Elo gains or new high-math variants from any of these labs could reorder the standings before resolution. The tight spread among the top four reflects how closely matched current math-reasoning capabilities remain outside the clear leader.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання