The Moderates secured a vote share of approximately 19.85% in the September 13 Swedish parliamentary election, aligning closely with pre-election polling averages that placed the party between 16% and 20% in the final months. This positioning reflects the party's status as the leading force in the outgoing Tidö bloc, its gains relative to 2022 amid shifts among coalition partners, and consistent survey trends from institutes such as Novus and Indikator Opinion showing stability near the upper end of the 18-20% band. Trader consensus at 99.7% for that interval draws from these verified results and the narrow overall bloc margins. Final tallies from remaining postal and overseas ballots could produce minor revisions, though historical patterns indicate such adjustments rarely exceed 0.5 percentage points.